667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: climate book

Ray Pierrehumbert on the new U.S.-China climate deal

Posted on 18 November 2014 by ecoquant

Professor Pierrehumbert offers his thoughts in Slate. He’s the author of Principles of Planetary Climate which is, as far as I’m concerned, the definitive climate book.

Posted in astronomy, astrophysics, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide capture, Carbon Tax, chemistry, citizen science, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate education, conservation, consumption, demand-side solutions, differential equations, ecology, economics, education, efficiency, energy, energy reduction, engineering, environment, forecasting, geoengineering, geophysics, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, mathematics, maths, meteorology, methane, NCA, NOAA, oceanography, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science, scientific publishing, solar power, statistics, wind power | Tagged climate book | Leave a comment
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    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
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    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
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    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
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    • Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
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    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
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    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
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    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Healthy Home Healthy Planet
  • climate change

    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • Ice and Snow
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • Social Cost of Carbon
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    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
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    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
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    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
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    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
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    • Simple models of climate change
    • Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
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    • Jacobson WWS literature index
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    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
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    • Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
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    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • And Then There's Physics
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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