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Tag Archives: U.S. Clean Power Plan

Alice Bell’s “A very short history of climate change research”

Posted on 10 August 2015 by ecoquant

“A very short history of climate change research“, by Alice Bell. The story of scientists discovering climate change is longer than many of us tend to imagine. We’ve had a sense that what humans do might effect the climate since … Continue reading →

Posted in astronomy, astrophysics, biology, carbon dioxide, civilization, climate, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, climate models, dynamical systems, ecology, environment, forecasting, fossil fuels, geophysics, global warming, IPCC, James Hansen, meteorology, Neill deGrasse Tyson, NOAA, oceanography, physics, population biology, Principles of Planetary Climate, rationality, Ray Pierrehumbert, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, sea level rise, spatial statistics, statistics, sustainability, temporal myopia, UNFCCC, WHOI | Tagged U.S. Clean Power Plan, U.S. Constitution | Leave a comment
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    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • distributed solar and matching location to need
    • "The Expert"
    • Earle Wilson
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Ted Dunning
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Gavin Simpson
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
    • Mertonian norms
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Harvard's Project Implicit
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
  • climate change

    • World Weather Attribution
    • Climate Change Denying Organizations
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • Simple models of climate change
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • weather blocking patterns
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
    • NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • SolarLove
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Reanalyses.org
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • "A field guide to the climate clowns"
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
    • CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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