667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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Tag Archives: U.S. Clean Power Plan

Alice Bell’s “A very short history of climate change research”

Posted on 10 August 2015 by ecoquant

“A very short history of climate change research“, by Alice Bell. The story of scientists discovering climate change is longer than many of us tend to imagine. We’ve had a sense that what humans do might effect the climate since … Continue reading →

Posted in astronomy, astrophysics, biology, carbon dioxide, civilization, climate, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, climate models, dynamical systems, ecology, environment, forecasting, fossil fuels, geophysics, global warming, IPCC, James Hansen, meteorology, Neill deGrasse Tyson, NOAA, oceanography, physics, population biology, Principles of Planetary Climate, rationality, Ray Pierrehumbert, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, sea level rise, spatial statistics, statistics, sustainability, temporal myopia, UNFCCC, WHOI | Tagged U.S. Clean Power Plan, U.S. Constitution | Leave a comment
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    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
    • London Review of Books
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • Risk and Well-Being
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    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • "The Expert"
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
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    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • What If
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    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
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    • Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
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  • climate change

    • Sea Change Boston
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
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    • Warming slowdown discussion
    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
    • The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
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    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
    • ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
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    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • "Climate science is setttled enough"
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • MIT's Climate Primer
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
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