This is the kind of thing that’s expected of a +3C world, although the idea of it being a threshold phenomenon is a bit unrealistic. So, it’s expected that these sinks might, overall, start releasing their sequestered Carbon, one here one year, another there another year. But if the biggest sinks start releasing theirs first, well, this is one of the Climate Surprises the IPCC and the U.S. National Climate Change assessment talk about. And they are not at all good.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- What If
- "The Expert"
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Number Cruncher Politics
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Professor David Draper
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Awkward Botany
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- London Review of Books
- All about Sankey diagrams
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Gabriel's staircase
- Label Noise
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- American Statistical Association
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
climate change
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Sea Change Boston
- The Sunlight Economy
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Simple models of climate change
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Skeptical Science
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- David Appell's early climate science
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Earth System Models
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
Yes, but there is a question of Carbon budget. The accounting for CO2 sources is pretty good. If there’s an excess coming into atmosphere not accounted for by ocean outgassing, or known land/biosphere emissions, or fossil fuels, or boosted northern forest growth (and decay), or permafrost melt, then it’s necessary to look for it. Moreover, it is possible to both discriminate between these sources by isotopic signature and close (airborne) monitoring.
One year does not a pattern make