Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Karl Broman
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Label Noise
- All about models
- Awkward Botany
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Earle Wilson
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- London Review of Books
- James' Empty Blog
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Ted Dunning
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- American Statistical Association
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Mertonian norms
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Professor David Draper
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
climate change
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- The Sunlight Economy
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Risk and Well-Being
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Sea Change Boston
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Ice and Snow
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Earth System Models
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Reanalyses.org
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- And Then There's Physics
- SolarLove
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- weather blocking patterns
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Skeptical Science
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- David Appell's early climate science
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Lévy flights
climate model democracy
“One of the most interesting things about the MIP ensembles is that the mean of all the models generally has higher skill than any individual model.” We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all models are created equal, that … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, attribution, Bayesian model averaging, Bloomberg, citizen science, climate, climate business, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, climate education, climate justice, Climate Lab Book, climate models, coastal communities, coastal investment risks, complex systems, differential equations, disruption, dynamic linear models, dynamical systems, ecology, emergent organization, ensemble methods, ensemble models, ensembles, Eric Rignot, evidence, fear uncertainty and doubt, FEMA, forecasting, free flow of labor, global warming, greenhouse gases, greenwashing, Humans have a lot to answer for, Hyper Anthropocene, Jennifer Francis, Joe Romm, Kevin Anderson, Lévy flights, LBNL, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, liberal climate deniers, mathematics, mathematics education, model-free forecasting, multivariate adaptive regression splines, National Center for Atmospheric Research, obfuscating data, oceanography, open source scientific software, optimization, perceptrons, philosophy of science, phytoplankton
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Carbon Sinks in Crisis — It Looks Like the World’s Largest Rainforest is Starting to Bleed Greenhouse Gasses
Originally posted on robertscribbler:
Back in 2005, and again in 2010, the vast Amazon rainforest, which has been aptly described as the world’s lungs, briefly lost its ability to take in atmospheric carbon dioxide. Its drought-stressed trees were not growing…
Posted in bifurcations, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide sequestration, changepoint detection, climate, climate change, climate disruption, disruption, dynamical systems, environment, exponential growth, fossil fuels, geophysics, global warming, IPCC, Lévy flights, Lorenz, Minsky moment, model-free forecasting, physics, population biology, population dynamics, Principles of Planetary Climate, quantitative biology, quantitative ecology, random walk processes, Ray Pierrehumbert, reason, reasonableness, regime shifts, risk, Stefan Rahmstorf, the right to be and act stupid, the tragedy of our present civilization, UU Humanists
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Repaired R code for Markov spatial simulation of hurricane tracks from historical trajectories
(Slight update, 28th June 2020.) I’m currently studying random walk and diffusion processes and their connections with random fields. I’m interested in this because at the core of dynamic linear models, Kalman filters, and state-space methods there is a random … Continue reading
Posted in American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Arthur Charpentier, atmosphere, diffusion, diffusion processes, dynamic linear models, dynamical systems, environment, geophysics, hurricanes, Kalman filter, Kerry Emanuel, Lévy flights, Lorenz, Markov chain random fields, mathematics, mathematics education, maths, MCMC, mesh models, meteorological models, meteorology, model-free forecasting, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, numerical analysis, numerical software, oceanography, open data, open source scientific software, physics, random walk processes, random walks, science, spatial statistics, state-space models, statistical dependence, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastics, time series
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“Catching long tail distribution” (Ted Dunning)
One of the best presentations on what can happen if someone takes a naive approach to network data. It also highlights what is, to my mind, the greatly underappreciated t-distribution, which is typically only used in connection with frequentist Student … Continue reading
ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 