Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- "The Expert"
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Ted Dunning
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- NCAR AtmosNews
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Karl Broman
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Awkward Botany
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- All about models
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Risk and Well-Being
- London Review of Books
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- James' Empty Blog
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
climate change
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- RealClimate
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- SolarLove
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Sea Change Boston
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Simple models of climate change
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Reanalyses.org
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- weather blocking patterns
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Ice and Snow
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Climate model projections versus observations
- The Sunlight Economy
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: random walk processes
Carbon Sinks in Crisis — It Looks Like the World’s Largest Rainforest is Starting to Bleed Greenhouse Gasses
This is the kind of thing that’s expected of a +3C world, although the idea of it being a threshold phenomenon is a bit unrealistic. So, it’s expected that these sinks might, overall, start releasing their sequestered Carbon, one here … Continue reading
Posted in bifurcations, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide sequestration, changepoint detection, climate, climate change, climate disruption, disruption, dynamical systems, environment, exponential growth, fossil fuels, geophysics, global warming, IPCC, Lévy flights, Lorenz, Minsky moment, model-free forecasting, physics, population biology, population dynamics, Principles of Planetary Climate, quantitative biology, quantitative ecology, random walk processes, Ray Pierrehumbert, reason, reasonableness, regime shifts, risk, Stefan Rahmstorf, the right to be and act stupid, the tragedy of our present civilization, UU Humanists
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Repaired R code for Markov spatial simulation of hurricane tracks from historical trajectories
(Slight update, 28th June 2020.) I’m currently studying random walk and diffusion processes and their connections with random fields. I’m interested in this because at the core of dynamic linear models, Kalman filters, and state-space methods there is a random … Continue reading
Posted in American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Arthur Charpentier, atmosphere, diffusion, diffusion processes, dynamic linear models, dynamical systems, environment, geophysics, hurricanes, Kalman filter, Kerry Emanuel, Lévy flights, Lorenz, Markov chain random fields, mathematics, mathematics education, maths, MCMC, mesh models, meteorological models, meteorology, model-free forecasting, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, numerical analysis, numerical software, oceanography, open data, open source scientific software, physics, random walk processes, random walks, science, spatial statistics, state-space models, statistical dependence, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastics, time series
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ecoquant
