This is the kind of thing that’s expected of a +3C world, although the idea of it being a threshold phenomenon is a bit unrealistic. So, it’s expected that these sinks might, overall, start releasing their sequestered Carbon, one here one year, another there another year. But if the biggest sinks start releasing theirs first, well, this is one of the Climate Surprises the IPCC and the U.S. National Climate Change assessment talk about. And they are not at all good.
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Gavin Simpson
- All about models
- Gabriel's staircase
- "The Expert"
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Professor David Draper
- Awkward Botany
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Mertonian norms
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- American Statistical Association
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Karl Broman
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- London Review of Books
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Risk and Well-Being
- NCAR AtmosNews
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
climate change
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- World Weather Attribution
- Sea Change Boston
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Skeptical Science
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Earth System Models
- Reanalyses.org
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Spectra Energy exposed
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
Archives
Jan Galkowski
ecoquant
Yes, but there is a question of Carbon budget. The accounting for CO2 sources is pretty good. If there’s an excess coming into atmosphere not accounted for by ocean outgassing, or known land/biosphere emissions, or fossil fuels, or boosted northern forest growth (and decay), or permafrost melt, then it’s necessary to look for it. Moreover, it is possible to both discriminate between these sources by isotopic signature and close (airborne) monitoring.
One year does not a pattern make