Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Gavin Simpson
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- London Review of Books
- American Statistical Association
- All about models
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Earle Wilson
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- "The Expert"
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Karl Broman
- Risk and Well-Being
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Awkward Botany
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
climate change
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Simple models of climate change
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- The Sunlight Economy
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- SolarLove
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- weather blocking patterns
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Spectra Energy exposed
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Social Cost of Carbon
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Ice and Snow
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Reanalyses.org
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- RealClimate
- Jacobson WWS literature index
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Tag Archives: error-in-variables problem
The zero-crossings trick for JAGS: Finding roots stochastically
BUGS has a “zeros trick” (Lund, Jackson, Best, Thomas, Spiegelhalter, 2013, pages 204-206; see also an online illustration) for specifying a new distribution which is not in the standard set. The idea is to couple an invented-for-the-moment Poisson density to … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian, BUGS, education, forecasting, Gibbs Sampling, JAGS, mathematics, MCMC, probabilistic programming, R, statistics, stochastic search
Tagged error-in-variables problem, optimization, zeros trick
4 Comments
ecoquant
