Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Mertonian norms
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Risk and Well-Being
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Gabriel's staircase
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- James' Empty Blog
- Ted Dunning
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Karl Broman
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- London Review of Books
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Slice Sampling
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- What If
- All about Sankey diagrams
- American Statistical Association
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
climate change
- Ice and Snow
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Reanalyses.org
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- RealClimate
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- David Appell's early climate science
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- And Then There's Physics
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Risk and Well-Being
- SolarLove
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Tag Archives: error-in-variables problem
The zero-crossings trick for JAGS: Finding roots stochastically
BUGS has a “zeros trick” (Lund, Jackson, Best, Thomas, Spiegelhalter, 2013, pages 204-206; see also an online illustration) for specifying a new distribution which is not in the standard set. The idea is to couple an invented-for-the-moment Poisson density to … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian, BUGS, education, forecasting, Gibbs Sampling, JAGS, mathematics, MCMC, probabilistic programming, R, statistics, stochastic search
Tagged error-in-variables problem, optimization, zeros trick
4 Comments
ecoquant
