Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- "The Expert"
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Awkward Botany
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- London Review of Books
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- All about Sankey diagrams
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Ted Dunning
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Mertonian norms
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
climate change
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- MIT's Climate Primer
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Risk and Well-Being
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Ice and Snow
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Sea Change Boston
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- The Sunlight Economy
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Skeptical Science
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- weather blocking patterns
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Earth System Models
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- RealClimate
- Warming slowdown discussion
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Social Cost of Carbon
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Tag Archives: zeros trick
The zero-crossings trick for JAGS: Finding roots stochastically
BUGS has a “zeros trick” (Lund, Jackson, Best, Thomas, Spiegelhalter, 2013, pages 204-206; see also an online illustration) for specifying a new distribution which is not in the standard set. The idea is to couple an invented-for-the-moment Poisson density to … Continue reading
Posted in Bayesian, BUGS, education, forecasting, Gibbs Sampling, JAGS, mathematics, MCMC, probabilistic programming, R, statistics, stochastic search
Tagged error-in-variables problem, optimization, zeros trick
4 Comments
ecoquant
