667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
Skip to content
  • Home
  • About

Category Archives: Brent Mishler

New Meetup: Massachusetts Mosses and Lichens

Posted on 26 February 2021 by ecoquant

I have started a new Meetup group: Massachusetts Mosses and Lichens. I am inviting anyone with an interest in mosses and lichens to join in, particularly if you live in the “greater Massachusetts area”. Because of pandemic, there’ll be no … Continue reading →

Posted in ABLS, American Bryological and Lichenological Society, American Statistical Association, biology, Botany, Brent Mishler, bryology, bryophytes, citizen data, citizen science, ecology, field biology, field research, field science, Hale Reservation, Janice Glime, Jerry Jenkins, lichenology, lichens, longitudinal survey of mosses, macrophotography, maths, mesh models, mosses, Nancy G Slack, National Phenology Network, population biology, population dynamics, Ralph Pope, science, spatial statistics, statistical ecology, Sue Williams, the right to know, Westwood | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
    • John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
    • Professor David Draper
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
    • In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
    • Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
    • Earle Wilson
    • Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • James' Empty Blog
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Label Noise
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
    • Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
    • John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
    • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
    • Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
    • Karl Broman
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • American Statistical Association
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
  • climate change

    • Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • World Weather Attribution
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
    • Risk and Well-Being
    • Warming slowdown discussion
    • James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
    • Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
    • Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • Skeptical Science
    • Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
    • Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
    • MIT's Climate Primer
    • And Then There's Physics
    • Social Cost of Carbon
    • “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
    • Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
    • Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
    • Sea Change Boston
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • weather blocking patterns
    • Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
    • SolarLove
    • The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
  • Archives

  • Jan Galkowski

    • ecoquant
  • Blog Stats

    • 90,112 hits
  • Recent Posts

    • Adobe Lightroom for scientific photos 1 December 2021
    • Stranded Assets Nightmare 29 November 2021
    • Botkin’s Discordant Harmonies, a comment 28 November 2021
    • ‘Keystone Pipeline Developers Seek $15 Billion From U.S. for Cancellation’ 23 November 2021
    • My favorite presentation on climate disruption these days 23 November 2021
    • Photo of the week: Repeatedly distressed Mnium hornum 19 November 2021
    • Gee, if all maths classes were like this, they’d be exhausting … 18 November 2021
    • “Aggregating the harms of fossil fuels” 17 November 2021
    • Awesome. 17 November 2021
    • Price the Roads 16 November 2021
    • Fecklessness 15 November 2021
    • COP26, rest in agony 14 November 2021
    • David Wallace Wells …The Uninhabitable Earth and its implications 13 November 2021
    • Climate Music Break : Signs of Life 13 November 2021
    • Don’t like high or volatile petrol prices? Get an EV to replace your gas-guzzling thang 13 November 2021
    • Clearly not consumption based … but, well … 12 November 2021
    • We are living through the closing door of climate targets 12 November 2021
    • Sunday’s Storms Made Gas More Expensive, Thanks To Yet More East Bay Refinery Flare-Ups 11 November 2021
    • All about net ZERO 10 November 2021
    • Words from Mother Jones 9 November 2021
    • Well, brevity in argument is not something to be expected from training at new, Palantir-supported University of Austin 8 November 2021
    • ‘Will Ford do away with the dealer model?’ 8 November 2021
    • Hydrogen production from curtailed generation 8 November 2021
    • Losing sight of the big picture 8 November 2021
    • Stuart Stevens: Covid a Stress Test, and So Far We’re Failing 7 November 2021
    • The Truth about Sea Level Rise 2 November 2021
    • Climate Music Break: Pink Floyd, David Bowie, Comfortably Numb 2 November 2021
    • Welcome to your future 1 November 2021
    • “They are liars … You can have the best capitalism in the world, but if people are dead, they’re dead. It’s over.” 1 November 2021
    • “I have given up. I am here to talk about the science.” 1 November 2021
    • “How should children learn about climate change?” 30 October 2021
    • Future liability for fossil fuel energy producers and conveyors 29 October 2021
    • Comment on “Federal policy can drive the solar industry… but still may fall short” 28 October 2021
    • Yeah, like many aspects of the biosphere, forests and their contribution to sequestering Carbon is complicated 21 October 2021
    • Dr Gilbz 20 October 2021
    • In the field 19 October 2021
    • Climate Facts from James Hansen and Makiko Sato Ahead of COP26 14 October 2021
    • An Open Letter from U.S. Scientists Imploring President Biden to End the Fossil Fuel Era 9 October 2021
    • “It’s the exact opposite.” 7 October 2021
    • Rationale for XR, short term 5 October 2021
    • “I don’t want my grandchildren to suffer” XR 5 October 2021
    • Stopping climate disruption and eating cookies 5 October 2021
    • Myths 5 October 2021
    • Stephen Fry on XR 5 October 2021
    • A very recent Bill McKibben on Where We Are 1 October 2021
    • “A political dynamic …” 1 October 2021
    • Meet Solkjøring 28 September 2021
    • Greta, YouthCOP, 2021 28 September 2021
    • First Contact, and the Long Now Foundation 26 September 2021
    • Vineyard Sound, Rhode Island Sound, August, 2021 17 September 2021
  • Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

    Join 131 other followers
  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
Create a website or blog at WordPress.com
  • Follow Following
    • 667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
    • Join 131 other followers
    • Already have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.
    • 667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
    • Customize
    • Follow Following
    • Sign up
    • Log in
    • Report this content
    • View site in Reader
    • Manage subscriptions
    • Collapse this bar
 

Loading Comments...