667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
"Whether we and our politicians know it or not, Nature is party to all our deals and decisions, and she has more votes, a longer memory, and a sterner sense of justice than we do." — Wendell Berry
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Category Archives: Janice Glime

New Meetup: Massachusetts Mosses and Lichens

Posted on 26 February 2021 by ecoquant

I have started a new Meetup group: Massachusetts Mosses and Lichens. I am inviting anyone with an interest in mosses and lichens to join in, particularly if you live in the “greater Massachusetts area”. Because of pandemic, there’ll be no … Continue reading →

Posted in ABLS, American Bryological and Lichenological Society, American Statistical Association, biology, Botany, Brent Mishler, bryology, bryophytes, citizen data, citizen science, ecology, field biology, field research, field science, Hale Reservation, Janice Glime, Jerry Jenkins, lichenology, lichens, longitudinal survey of mosses, macrophotography, maths, mesh models, mosses, Nancy G Slack, National Phenology Network, population biology, population dynamics, Ralph Pope, science, spatial statistics, statistical ecology, Sue Williams, the right to know, Westwood | Leave a comment
  • Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

  • Blogroll

    • Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
    • Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
    • Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
    • All about Sankey diagrams
    • All about models
    • "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
    • The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
    • Earle Wilson
    • Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
    • Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
    • Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
    • Beautiful Weeds of New York City
    • Ted Dunning
    • Slice Sampling
    • London Review of Books
    • Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
    • Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
    • Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
    • Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
    • James' Empty Blog
    • Mertonian norms
    • Gabriel's staircase
    • NCAR AtmosNews
    • Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
    • Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
    • Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
    • Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
    • Label Noise
    • "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
    • Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
    • Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
    • Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
    • International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
    • SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
    • Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
    • Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
    • Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
    • The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
    • Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
    • WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
    • Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
    • Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
    • Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
    • Number Cruncher Politics
    • Dr James Spall's SPSA
    • OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
    • American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
    • "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
    • AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
  • climate change

    • On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
    • Reanalyses.org
    • Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
    • AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
    • Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
    • Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
    • Thriving on Low Carbon
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
    • Wally Broecker on climate realism
    • The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
    • Simple models of climate change
    • SolarLove
    • `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
    • Solar Gardens Community Power
    • Spectra Energy exposed
    • Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
    • All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
    • Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
    • "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
    • The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
    • An open letter to Steve Levitt
    • The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
    • Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
    • Climate model projections versus observations
    • MIT's Climate Primer
    • Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
    • "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
    • Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
    • Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
    • Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
    • Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
    • Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
    • Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
    • Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
    • The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
    • David Appell's early climate science
    • Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
    • "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
    • Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
    • The Sunlight Economy
    • Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
    • "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
    • “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
    • "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
    • SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
    • Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
    • Jacobson WWS literature index
    • The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
    • "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
    • Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
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  • Goodreads

  • Kalman filtering and smoothing; dynamic linear models



    Also, see datasets and R examples to accompany this excellent text.





    I have used dlm almost exclusively, except when extreme efficiency was required. Since Jouni Helske's KFAS was rewritten, though, I'm increasingly drawn to it, because the noise sources it supports are more diverse than dlm's. KFAS uses the notation and approaches of Durbin, Koopman, and Harvey.

    ``The real problem is that programmers have spent far too much time worrying about efficiency in the wrong places and at the wrong times; premature optimization is the root of all evil (or at least most of it) in programming.''
    Professor Donald Knuth, 1974
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy
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