Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Gavin Simpson
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- London Review of Books
- Earle Wilson
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Karl Broman
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Risk and Well-Being
- Label Noise
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Mertonian norms
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- James' Empty Blog
- All about models
- "The Expert"
climate change
- And Then There's Physics
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- weather blocking patterns
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- RealClimate
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- David Appell's early climate science
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- The Sunlight Economy
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Sea Change Boston
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Reanalyses.org
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Monthly Archives: September 2016
Enough Already
“If you’re in a hole, stop digging.” “The Sky’s Limit: Why the Paris Climate Goals Require a Managed Decline of Fossil Fuel Production”
Posted in Anthropocene, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, bridge to nowhere, climate change, climate disruption, corporate litigation on damage from fossil fuel emissions, fossil fuel divestment, fossil fuels, games of chance, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, investing, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, natural gas, population biology, population dynamics, Principles of Planetary Climate, quantitative ecology, science, the energy of the people, the green century, the tragedy of our present civilization, the value of financial assets, wind energy, wind power, Yale University Statistics Department, zero carbon
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Uniform sampling of a disk, and implications for sampling the Internet
Suppose you want to uniformly sample from the interior of a circle of unit radius, in other words, from a unit disk. The “gut feel” way is to pick a random angle, , in radians uniformly from 0 to , … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
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Just a lil’ bit o’ a drought … Nothing to be alarmed about … (!)
Posted in adaptation, American Meteorological Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, atmosphere, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, drought, environment, fluid dynamics, global warming, greenhouse gases, hydrology, Hyper Anthropocene, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, meteorology, quantitative ecology, Spaceship Earth, statistics, time series, water, water vapor, WHOI, zero carbon
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Generation: Westwood Studios, September 2016
(Click on image to see a larger figure, and use browser Back Button to return to blog.) (Click on image to see a larger figure, and use browser Back Button to return to blog.) As mentioned before, you can watch … Continue reading
Posted in American Meteorological Association, American Solar Energy Society, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, Buckminster Fuller, climate disruption, Hermann Scheer, Hyper Anthropocene, Sankey diagram, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, Spaceship Earth, the energy of the people, the green century, the right to be and act stupid, the right to know, the value of financial assets, Tony Seba, zero carbon
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Who paved the roads?
Professor Tony Seba of Stanford University is a great leader, visionary, speaker, and business expert. He often starts his talks with two successive public domain images to illustrate technological and business disruption. These are shown below. One is a photograph … Continue reading
Posted in adaptation, Anthropocene, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, BNEF, Carbon Worshipers, clean disruption, CleanTechnica, climate business, climate disruption, climate economics, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, destructive economic development, disruption, distributed generation, economics, electricity markets, energy, energy reduction, energy storage, energy utilities, feed-in tariff, fossil fuel divestment, Gaylord Nelson, global warming, green tech, grid defection, Hyper Anthropocene, ILSR, investment in wind and solar energy, ISO-NE, Joseph Schumpeter, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, local generation, marginal energy sources, Mark Jacobson, Massachusetts Clean Energy Center, meteorology, microgrids, Minsky moment, planning, public utility commissions, PUCs, rate of return regulation, rationality, reason, reasonableness, regime shifts, regulatory capture, resiliency, risk, Sankey diagram, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, Stanford University, stranded assets, supply chains, sustainability, the energy of the people, the green century, the right to know, the value of financial assets, Tony Seba, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon
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Republican Governor Charles D. Baker, The Commonwealth of Massachusetts: On CLIMATE
An Executive Order, No. 569 ESTABLISHING AN INTEGRATED CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGY FOR THE COMMONWEALTH WHEREAS, climate change presents a serious threat to the environment and the Commonwealth’s residents, communities, and economy; WHEREAS, extreme weather events associated with climate change present … Continue reading
Posted in adaptation, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, BNEF, climate business, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate education, climate justice, coastal communities, engineering, environment, environmental law, evidence, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, fossil fuels, gas pipeline leaks, Gaylord Nelson, geophysics, global warming, green tech, hurricanes, Hyper Anthropocene, insurance, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Clean Energy Center, Massachusetts Interfaith Coalition for Climate Action, meteorology, Minsky moment, mitigation, moral leadership, rate of return regulation, rationality, reason, reasonableness, risk, shorelines, stranded assets, sustainability, the right to know, transparency, zero carbon
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“Predicting annual temperatures a year ahead” (Dr Gavin Schmidt at REALCLIMATE)
Dr Schmidt is essentially betting that the trend, seen as a random variable, will regress towards the smooth mean. I have a post at Nate Silver’s 538 site on how we can predict annual surface temperature anomalies based on El … Continue reading
Posted in American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, anomaly detection, Anthropocene, changepoint detection, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, climate education, climate models, ecology, environment, forecasting, geophysics, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, meteorology, oceanography, physics, regression toward the mean, science, statistics, time series
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XKCD tells it all
Alerted to the existence of the image by Tamino. The figure is due to the irrepressible Randall Munroe.
Posted in Anthropocene, bridge to nowhere, Carbon Cycle, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, civilization, climate, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, coastal communities, coasts, environment, evidence, fossil fuels, geophysics, glaciers, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, icesheets, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, Massachusetts Interfaith Coalition for Climate Action, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, meteorology, Our Children's Trust, Principles of Planetary Climate, Randall Munroe, Ray Pierrehumbert, science, the right to know, XKCD
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Bastardi’s Bust
Famous climate denialist Joe Bastari of WeatherBELL Analytics LLC, formerly of Accuweather.com made a prediction on Arctic ice recovery back in 2010 (when at AccuWeather), and observations have since made his “studies” laughable. I have heard his colleague, Joseph D’Aleo … Continue reading
Posted in Accuweather, American Meteorological Association, anomaly detection, Anthropocene, Arctic, climate change, climate disruption, climate models, coasts, ecology, environment, evidence, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, ice sheet dynamics, meteorology, NOAA, science denier, shorelines, statistics, Stefan Rahmstorf, the right to be and act stupid, the right to know, the stack of lies, the tragedy of our present civilization, time series
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‘A Time To Choose’
Charles Ferguson and a “Time To Choose”. (Much large image available by clicking on photo. Use browser Back Button to return to blog.) Trailer:
Posted in American Solar Energy Society, Anthropocene, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Buckminster Fuller, Charles Ferguson, clean disruption, CleanTechnica, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, fossil fuel divestment, green tech, Hyper Anthropocene, investment in wind and solar energy, Joseph Schumpeter, regime shifts, Sankey diagram, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, Spaceship Earth, sustainability, the energy of the people, the green century, the value of financial assets, Tony Seba, utility company death spiral, wind energy, wind power, zero carbon
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`Hermine Unique among Storms’
Post-tropical storm Hermine is the story of the emergence of weather chimeras. Simple. The forecasting precedents have changed. We cannot look to the past to anticipate the future any longer. We’re playing by different rules. And we don’t know what … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, anomaly detection, Anthropocene, bifurcations, changepoint detection, climate disruption, coastal communities, Dan Satterfield, ecology, environment, global warming, hurricanes, Hyper Anthropocene, meteorological models, meteorology, nor'easters, oceanic eddies, oceanography, physics, Principles of Planetary Climate, science, the right to be and act stupid, the tragedy of our present civilization, the value of financial assets, thermodynamics
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Once more, with feeling: Responding to Kostrzewa in The Providence Journal
It’s making the rounds. Today it’s John Kostrzewa, Assistant Managing Editor of The Providence Journal, arguing the necessity of natural gas and its pipelines with his “Why R.I.’s economy needs a natural-gas pipeline”. And my response, below, which allowed me … Continue reading
Posted in adaptation, Anthropocene, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, BNEF, bridge to nowhere, Carbon Worshipers, citizen science, citizenship, clean disruption, CleanTechnica, climate business, decentralized electric power generation, decentralized energy, demand-side solutions, denial, disruption, distributed generation, electricity, electricity markets, energy, energy utilities, evidence, extended supply chains, FERC, fossil fuels, fracking, gas pipeline leaks, global warming, greenhouse gases, Hermann Scheer, Hyper Anthropocene, investment in wind and solar energy, Joseph Schumpeter, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, methane, microgrids, natural gas, pipelines, public utility commissions, PUCs, regime shifts, regulatory capture, Rhode Island, risk, Sankey diagram, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, solar power, stranded assets, supply chains, the energy of the people, the green century, the right to be and act stupid, the right to know, the stack of lies, the tragedy of our present civilization, the value of financial assets, Tony Seba, utility company death spiral, zero carbon
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ecoquant
