Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- London Review of Books
- Karl Broman
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Risk and Well-Being
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Label Noise
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
climate change
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Skeptical Science
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Sea Change Boston
- And Then There's Physics
- SolarLove
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- The Sunlight Economy
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Ice and Snow
- weather blocking patterns
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Risk and Well-Being
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Andrew Parnell
Less evidence for a global warming hiatus, and urging more use of Bayesian model averaging in climate science
(This post has been significantly updated midday 15th February 2018.) I’ve written about the supposed global warming hiatus of 2001-2014 before: “‘Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years’ (Fyfe, Gillett, Zwiers, 2013)”, 28 August 2013 “Warming Slowdown?”, Azimuth, Part … Continue reading
Posted in American Statistical Association, Andrew Parnell, anomaly detection, Anthropocene, Bayesian, Bayesian model averaging, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, BEST, climate change, David Spiegelhalter, dependent data, Dublin, GISTEMP, global warming, Grant Foster, HadCRUT4, hiatus, Hyper Anthropocene, JAGS, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Martyn Plummer, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, MCMC, model-free forecasting, Niamh Cahill, Significance, statistics, Stefan Rahmstorf, Tamino
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ecoquant
