Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- "The Expert"
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Mertonian norms
- All about models
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- American Statistical Association
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Gabriel's staircase
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Ted Dunning
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Awkward Botany
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Slice Sampling
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Professor David Draper
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Earle Wilson
- What If
- Label Noise
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
climate change
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Skeptical Science
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Ice and Snow
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- World Weather Attribution
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- MIT's Climate Primer
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Simple models of climate change
- Sea Change Boston
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- weather blocking patterns
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Dublin
Less evidence for a global warming hiatus, and urging more use of Bayesian model averaging in climate science
(This post has been significantly updated midday 15th February 2018.) I’ve written about the supposed global warming hiatus of 2001-2014 before: “‘Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years’ (Fyfe, Gillett, Zwiers, 2013)”, 28 August 2013 “Warming Slowdown?”, Azimuth, Part … Continue reading
Posted in American Statistical Association, Andrew Parnell, anomaly detection, Anthropocene, Bayesian, Bayesian model averaging, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, BEST, climate change, David Spiegelhalter, dependent data, Dublin, GISTEMP, global warming, Grant Foster, HadCRUT4, hiatus, Hyper Anthropocene, JAGS, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Martyn Plummer, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, MCMC, model-free forecasting, Niamh Cahill, Significance, statistics, Stefan Rahmstorf, Tamino
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ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 