### Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

### Blogroll

- "Consider a Flat Pond"
- In Monte Carlo We Trust
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps
- All about models
- Gavin Simpson
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak
- Logistic curves in market disruption
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology
- Ted Dunning
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"

### climate change

- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- All Models Are Wrong
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Agendaists
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network
- World Weather Attribution

### Archives

### Jan Galkowski

# Category Archives: Dublin

## Less evidence for a global warming hiatus, and urging more use of Bayesian model averaging in climate science

(This post has been significantly updated midday 15th February 2018.) I’ve written about the supposed global warming hiatus of 2001-2014 before: “‘Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years’ (Fyfe, Gillett, Zwiers, 2013)”, 28 August 2013 “Warming Slowdown?”, Azimuth, Part … Continue reading

Posted in American Statistical Association, Andrew Parnell, anomaly detection, Anthropocene, Bayesian, Bayesian model averaging, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, BEST, climate change, David Spiegelhalter, dependent data, Dublin, GISTEMP, global warming, Grant Foster, HadCRUT4, hiatus, Hyper Anthropocene, JAGS, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Martyn Plummer, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, MCMC, model-free forecasting, Niamh Cahill, Significance, statistics, Stefan Rahmstorf, Tamino
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