Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Gavin Simpson
- What If
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- All about models
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Gabriel's staircase
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- American Statistical Association
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- James' Empty Blog
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Karl Broman
climate change
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- David Appell's early climate science
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Skeptical Science
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Social Cost of Carbon
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- weather blocking patterns
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Simple models of climate change
- Earth System Models
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- And Then There's Physics
- Sea Change Boston
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: GISTEMP
Less evidence for a global warming hiatus, and urging more use of Bayesian model averaging in climate science
(This post has been significantly updated midday 15th February 2018.) I’ve written about the supposed global warming hiatus of 2001-2014 before: “‘Overestimated global warming over the past 20 years’ (Fyfe, Gillett, Zwiers, 2013)”, 28 August 2013 “Warming Slowdown?”, Azimuth, Part … Continue reading
Posted in American Statistical Association, Andrew Parnell, anomaly detection, Anthropocene, Bayesian, Bayesian model averaging, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, BEST, climate change, David Spiegelhalter, dependent data, Dublin, GISTEMP, global warming, Grant Foster, HadCRUT4, hiatus, Hyper Anthropocene, JAGS, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Martyn Plummer, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, MCMC, model-free forecasting, Niamh Cahill, Significance, statistics, Stefan Rahmstorf, Tamino
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Eli on “Tom [Karl]’s trick and experimental design“
A very fine post at Eli’s blog for students of statistics, meteorology, and climate (like myself) titled: Tom’s trick and experimental design Excerpt: This and the graph from Menne at the top shows that Karl’s trick is working. Although we … Continue reading
Posted in American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, anomaly detection, climate, climate change, climate data, data science, evidence, experimental design, generalized linear mixed models, GISTEMP, GLMMs, global warming, model comparison, model-free forecasting, reblog, sampling, sampling networks
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Why scientific measurements need to be adjusted
There is an excellent piece in Ars Technica about why scientific measurements need to be adjusted, and the implications of this for climate data. It is written by Scott K Johnson and is called “Thorough, not thoroughly fabricated: The truth … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, Canettes Blues Band, citizen data, climate data, data science, environment, evidence, geophysics, GISTEMP, HadCRUT4, mathematics education, meteorological models, obfuscating data, open data, physics, science, spatial statistics, Tamino, the right to know, the tragedy of our present civilization, Variable Variability
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