Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Awkward Botany
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Gavin Simpson
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- James' Empty Blog
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- All about models
- "The Expert"
- What If
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Slice Sampling
- Label Noise
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Mertonian norms
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Karl Broman
climate change
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Earth System Models
- Reanalyses.org
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Social Cost of Carbon
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Skeptical Science
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Ice and Snow
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- SolarLove
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- And Then There's Physics
- Simple models of climate change
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Spectra Energy exposed
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Jerome Friedman
high dimension Metropolis-Hastings algorithms
If attempting to simulate from a multivariate standard normal distribution in a large dimension, when starting from the mode of the target, i.e., its mean γ, leaving the mode γis extremely unlikely, given the huge drop between the value of the density at the mode γ and at likely realisations Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Bayesian, Bayesian inversion, boosting, chance, Christian Robert, computation, ensembles, Gibbs Sampling, James Spall, Jerome Friedman, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, mathematics, maths, MCMC, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, multivariate statistics, numerical software, numerics, optimization, reasonableness, Robert Schapire, SPSA, state-space models, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastic search, stochastics, Yoav Freund
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