Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- All about Sankey diagrams
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- What If
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- London Review of Books
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- James' Empty Blog
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Slice Sampling
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Awkward Botany
- Gabriel's staircase
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- "The Expert"
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Ted Dunning
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Risk and Well-Being
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Professor David Draper
climate change
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Ice and Snow
- RealClimate
- Earth System Models
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Simple models of climate change
- Risk and Well-Being
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Sea Change Boston
- Warming slowdown discussion
- And Then There's Physics
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Social Cost of Carbon
- SolarLove
- weather blocking patterns
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Reanalyses.org
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Jerome Friedman
high dimension Metropolis-Hastings algorithms
If attempting to simulate from a multivariate standard normal distribution in a large dimension, when starting from the mode of the target, i.e., its mean γ, leaving the mode γis extremely unlikely, given the huge drop between the value of the density at the mode γ and at likely realisations Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Bayesian, Bayesian inversion, boosting, chance, Christian Robert, computation, ensembles, Gibbs Sampling, James Spall, Jerome Friedman, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, mathematics, maths, MCMC, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, multivariate statistics, numerical software, numerics, optimization, reasonableness, Robert Schapire, SPSA, state-space models, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastic search, stochastics, Yoav Freund
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667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 