Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- American Statistical Association
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Slice Sampling
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Gabriel's staircase
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- NCAR AtmosNews
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Mertonian norms
- James' Empty Blog
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Label Noise
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Earle Wilson
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- "The Expert"
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
climate change
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- David Appell's early climate science
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Ice and Snow
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Climate model projections versus observations
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- And Then There's Physics
- "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@doc-snow for more on him.)
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- weather blocking patterns
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Risk and Well-Being
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- RealClimate
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Social Cost of Carbon
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- The Sunlight Economy
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Skeptical Science
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Thriving on Low Carbon
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Andrew Harvey
Phase Plane plots of COVID-19 deaths with uncertainties
I. Introduction. It’s time to fulfill the promise made in “Phase plane plots of COVID-19 deaths“, a blog post from 2nd May 2020, and produce the same with uncertainty clouds about the functional trajectories(*). To begin, here are some assumptions … Continue reading
Posted in American Statistical Association, Andrew Harvey, anomaly detection, count data regression, COVID-19, dependent data, dlm package, Durbin and Koopman, dynamic linear models, epidemiology, filtering, forecasting, Kalman filter, LaTeX, model-free forecasting, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, numerical algorithms, numerical linear algebra, population biology, population dynamics, prediction, R, R statistical programming language, regression, statistical learning, stochastic algorithms
Tagged prediction intervals
Leave a comment