Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Earle Wilson
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Awkward Botany
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- "The Expert"
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Karl Broman
- All about models
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- American Statistical Association
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Slice Sampling
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Mertonian norms
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Ted Dunning
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
climate change
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Risk and Well-Being
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Warming slowdown discussion
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- weather blocking patterns
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Sea Change Boston
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- RealClimate
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- David Appell's early climate science
- Ice and Snow
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- And Then There's Physics
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Durbin and Koopman
Phase Plane plots of COVID-19 deaths with uncertainties
I. Introduction. It’s time to fulfill the promise made in “Phase plane plots of COVID-19 deaths“, a blog post from 2nd May 2020, and produce the same with uncertainty clouds about the functional trajectories(*). To begin, here are some assumptions … Continue reading
Posted in American Statistical Association, Andrew Harvey, anomaly detection, count data regression, COVID-19, dependent data, dlm package, Durbin and Koopman, dynamic linear models, epidemiology, filtering, forecasting, Kalman filter, LaTeX, model-free forecasting, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, numerical algorithms, numerical linear algebra, population biology, population dynamics, prediction, R, R statistical programming language, regression, statistical learning, stochastic algorithms
Tagged prediction intervals
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