Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- What If
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Mertonian norms
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Slice Sampling
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- All about models
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Awkward Botany
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Karl Broman
- Earle Wilson
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Ted Dunning
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
climate change
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- weather blocking patterns
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Earth System Models
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Social Cost of Carbon
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- RealClimate
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- SolarLove
- Simple models of climate change
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Sea Change Boston
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Ice and Snow
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- And Then There's Physics
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: coronavirus
The engagement with SARS-CoV-2: Where we stand in the United States, in curated numbers
From the COVID Tracking Project at The Atlantic Monthly, a 23rd December 2020 report: California is out of control. As I’ve noted elsewhere and the COVID Tracking Project reminds, sourcing cases, deaths, positive test rate, and hospitalization data is tricky. … Continue reading
“No, COVID-19 Is not the Flu”
Q&A with Andrew Pekosz, PhD, Johns Hopkins University: Q: What would you say to someone who insists to you that COVID-19 is “just the flu”? A: Since December 2019, COVID-19 has killed more people in the U.S. than influenza has … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2
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‘The virus is their new hoax’
And note that the variant of SARS-CoV-2 which has taken over the world is a more virulent, more damaging, and more infectious variant of the virus which infected Wuhan. We visualized COVID’s spread across every US state and county. Check … Continue reading
Has maintaining economic growth been worth it?
From Our World in Data article “No sign of a health-economy trade-off, quite the opposite“. Have the countries experiencing the largest economic decline performed better in protecting the nation’s health, as we would expect if there was a trade-off? The … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, economics, epidemiology, pandemic, policy metrics, politics, SARS-CoV-2
Tagged covid19, economicimpact, lives_for_dollars, pandemicresponse, sars_cov_2
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“Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions”
J. Dehning et al., Science 369, eabb9789 (2020). DOI: 10.1126/science.abb9789 Source code and data. Note: This is not a classical approach to assessing strength of interventions using either counterfactuals or other kinds of causal inference. Accordingly, the argument for the … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Statistical Association, Bayesian, Bayesian computational methods, causal inference, causation, changepoint detection, coronavirus, counterfactuals, COVID-19, epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2, state-space models, statistical series, time series
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COVID-19 statistics, a caveat : Sources of data matter
There are a number of sources of COVID-19-related demographics, cases, deaths, numbers testing positive, numbers recovered, and numbers testing negative available. Many of these are not consistent with one another. One could hope at least rates would be consistent, but … Continue reading
First substantial mechanism for long term immunity from SARS-CoV-2 : T-cells
M. Leslie, “T cells found in COVID-19 patients ‘bode well’ for long-term immunity“, Science, doi:10.1126/science.abc8120. A. Grifoni, et al, “Targets of T cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in humans with COVID-19 disease and unexposed individuals“, Cell, 14th May 2020. J. … Continue reading
Dissection of the Dr Judy Mikovits’ claims in AAAS Science
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/fact-checking-judy-mikovits-controversial-virologist-attacking-anthony-fauci-viral h/t Dr Katharine Hayhoe @LinkedIn The Chronic Fatigue Syndrome retraction notice. Excerpt: Science asked Mikovits for an interview for this article. She responded by sending an empty email with, as attachments, a copy of her new book and a … Continue reading
Phase plane plots of COVID-19 deaths
There are many ways of presenting analytical summaries of new series data for which the underlying mechanisms are incompletely understood. With respect to series describing the COVID-19 pandemic, Tamino has used piecewise linear models. I have mentioned how I prefered … Continue reading
Machiavelli
It’s right out of Machiavelli’s The Prince. #covid_19 #coronavirus Even for the Trump administration, it is odd they are pushing #Hydroxychloroquine and #Azithromycin so hard, against medical advice and evidence. I’ve thought about this and, given the growing animosity between … Continue reading
New COVID-19 incidence in the United States as AR(1) processes
There are several sources of information regarding Covid-19 incidence now available. This post uses data from a single source: the COVID Tracking Project. In particular I restrict attention to cumulative daily case counts for the United States, the UK, and … Continue reading
Posted in coronavirus, COVID-19, epidemiology, pandemic, regression, SARS-CoV-2
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ecoquant
