### Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

### Blogroll

- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Professor David Draper
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Risk and Well-Being
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Karl Broman
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- London Review of Books
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Gabriel's staircase
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Gavin Simpson
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”

### climate change

- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Simple models of climate change
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- And Then There's Physics
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Reanalyses.org
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Skeptical Science
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Risk and Well-Being
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- RealClimate
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- SolarLove
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains

### Archives

### Jan Galkowski

# Category Archives: descriptive statistics

## COVID-19 statistics, a *caveat* : Sources of data matter

There are a number of sources of COVID-19-related demographics, cases, deaths, numbers testing positive, numbers recovered, and numbers testing negative available. Many of these are not consistent with one another. One could hope at least rates would be consistent, but … Continue reading

## Cumulants and the Cornish-Fisher Expansion

“Consider the following.” (Bill Nye the Science Guy) There are random variables drawn from the same kind of probability distribution, but with different parameters for each. In this example, I’ll consider random variables , that is, each drawn from a … Continue reading

## Procrustes tangent distance is better than SNCD

I’ve written two posts here on using a Symmetrized Normalized Compression Divergence or SNCD for comparing time series. One introduced the SNCD and described its relationship to compression distance, and the other applied the SNCD to clustering days at a … Continue reading

Posted in data science, dependent data, descriptive statistics, divergence measures, hydrology, Ian Dryden, information theoretic statistics, J.T.Kent, Kanti Mardia, non-parametric statistics, normalized compression divergence, quantitative ecology, R statistical programming language, spatial statistics, statistical series, time series
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## Stream flow and P-splines: Using built-in estimates for smoothing

Mother Brook in Dedham Massachusetts was the first man-made canal in the United States. Dug in 1639, it connects the Charles River at Dedham, to the Neponset River in the Hyde Park section of Boston. It was originally an important … Continue reading

Posted in American Statistical Association, citizen data, citizen science, Clausius-Clapeyron equation, Commonwealth of Massachusetts, cross-validation, data science, dependent data, descriptive statistics, dynamic linear models, empirical likelihood, environment, flooding, floods, Grant Foster, hydrology, likelihood-free, meteorological models, model-free forecasting, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric, non-parametric model, non-parametric statistics, numerical algorithms, precipitation, quantitative ecology, statistical dependence, statistical series, stream flow, Tamino, the bootstrap, time series, water vapor
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## Series, symmetrized Normalized Compressed Divergences and their logit transforms

(Major update on 11th January 2019. Minor update on 16th January 2019.) On comparing things The idea of a calculating a distance between series for various purposes has received scholarly attention for quite some time. The most common application is … Continue reading

Posted in Akaike Information Criterion, bridge to somewhere, computation, content-free inference, data science, descriptive statistics, divergence measures, engineering, George Sughihara, information theoretic statistics, likelihood-free, machine learning, mathematics, model comparison, model-free forecasting, multivariate statistics, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric statistics, numerical algorithms, statistics, theoretical physics, thermodynamics, time series
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**How to Describe Numbers**

Source: How to Describe Numbers from the Stats With Cats blog.