### Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

### Blogroll

- "The Expert"
- Slice Sampling
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- All about Sankey diagrams
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Gavin Simpson
- Gabriel's staircase
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Earle Wilson
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- All about models
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- American Statistical Association
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value

### climate change

- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Sea Change Boston
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Risk and Well-Being
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Earth System Models
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Simple models of climate change
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Ice and Snow
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- weather blocking patterns
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- David Appell's early climate science
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- SolarLove
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- The Sunlight Economy

### Archives

### Jan Galkowski

# Category Archives: descriptive statistics

## COVID-19 statistics, a *caveat* : Sources of data matter

There are a number of sources of COVID-19-related demographics, cases, deaths, numbers testing positive, numbers recovered, and numbers testing negative available. Many of these are not consistent with one another. One could hope at least rates would be consistent, but … Continue reading

## Cumulants and the Cornish-Fisher Expansion

“Consider the following.” (Bill Nye the Science Guy) There are random variables drawn from the same kind of probability distribution, but with different parameters for each. In this example, I’ll consider random variables , that is, each drawn from a … Continue reading

## Procrustes tangent distance is better than SNCD

I’ve written two posts here on using a Symmetrized Normalized Compression Divergence or SNCD for comparing time series. One introduced the SNCD and described its relationship to compression distance, and the other applied the SNCD to clustering days at a … Continue reading

Posted in data science, dependent data, descriptive statistics, divergence measures, hydrology, Ian Dryden, information theoretic statistics, J.T.Kent, Kanti Mardia, non-parametric statistics, normalized compression divergence, quantitative ecology, R statistical programming language, spatial statistics, statistical series, time series
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## Stream flow and P-splines: Using built-in estimates for smoothing

Mother Brook in Dedham Massachusetts was the first man-made canal in the United States. Dug in 1639, it connects the Charles River at Dedham, to the Neponset River in the Hyde Park section of Boston. It was originally an important … Continue reading

Posted in American Statistical Association, citizen data, citizen science, Clausius-Clapeyron equation, Commonwealth of Massachusetts, cross-validation, data science, dependent data, descriptive statistics, dynamic linear models, empirical likelihood, environment, flooding, floods, Grant Foster, hydrology, likelihood-free, meteorological models, model-free forecasting, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric, non-parametric model, non-parametric statistics, numerical algorithms, precipitation, quantitative ecology, statistical dependence, statistical series, stream flow, Tamino, the bootstrap, time series, water vapor
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## Series, symmetrized Normalized Compressed Divergences and their logit transforms

(Major update on 11th January 2019. Minor update on 16th January 2019.) On comparing things The idea of a calculating a distance between series for various purposes has received scholarly attention for quite some time. The most common application is … Continue reading

Posted in Akaike Information Criterion, bridge to somewhere, computation, content-free inference, data science, descriptive statistics, divergence measures, engineering, George Sughihara, information theoretic statistics, likelihood-free, machine learning, mathematics, model comparison, model-free forecasting, multivariate statistics, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric statistics, numerical algorithms, statistics, theoretical physics, thermodynamics, time series
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**How to Describe Numbers**

Source: How to Describe Numbers from the Stats With Cats blog.