Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Number Cruncher Politics
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Label Noise
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- All about models
- Karl Broman
- Gavin Simpson
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- What If
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Slice Sampling
- Earle Wilson
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Professor David Draper
- James' Empty Blog
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Awkward Botany
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Risk and Well-Being
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Mertonian norms
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
climate change
- Reanalyses.org
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Sea Change Boston
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Ice and Snow
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Skeptical Science
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- RealClimate
- MIT's Climate Primer
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Risk and Well-Being
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- weather blocking patterns
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Maren Scheffer
“Causal feedbacks in climate change”
Today I was reviewing and re-reading the nonlinear time series technical literature I have, seeking ideas on how to go about using the statistical ensemble learning technique called “boosting” with them. (See the very nice book, R. E. Schapire, Y. … Continue reading →
Posted in Anthropocene, boosting, Carbon Cycle, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, cat1, climate, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, complex systems, convergent cross-mapping, denial, differential equations, diffusion processes, dynamical systems, ecology, Egbert van Nes, empirical likelihood, ensembles, environment, Ethan Deyle, Floris Takens, forecasting, fossil fuels, geophysics, George Sughihara, global warming, greenhouse gases, Hao Ye, machine learning, Maren Scheffer, mathematics, maths, meteorology, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, state-space models, Takens embedding theorem, time series, Timothy Lenton, Victor Brovkin
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ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 