Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
 Number Cruncher Politics
 WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
 Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the socalled “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
 WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
 Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
 Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
 Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or Scurves as models of product takeup rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
 Gabriel's staircase
 NCAR AtmosNews
 John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
 Dr James Spall's SPSA
 Beautiful Weeds of New York City
 ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
 Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
 Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
 Risk and WellBeing
 Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
 Mertonian norms
 GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
 In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
 Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
 Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
 Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
 Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
 Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
 OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
 James' Empty Blog
 The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
 Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
 Harvard's Project Implicit
 The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
 Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
 The Plastic PickUp: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
 Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
 Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
 AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
 Label Noise
 Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
 London Review of Books
 American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
 Awkward Botany
 John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
 "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
 Gavin Simpson
 Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
 "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
 Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
 BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
 Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
 distributed solar and matching location to need
climate change
 History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
 "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
 Sea Change Boston
 Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
 Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
 “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
 Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
 The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
 AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
 "A field guide to the climate clowns"
 `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
 Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
 Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
 And Then There's Physics
 Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
 Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
 Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
 RealClimate
 "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
 Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
 Risk and WellBeing
 The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
 "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
 US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
 Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
 Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
 Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
 James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
 Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
 An open letter to Steve Levitt
 The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
 Ice and Snow
 Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
 The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
 Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
 Jacobson WWS literature index
 Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
 Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
 Simple models of climate change
 World Weather Attribution
 SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
 “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
 Spectra Energy exposed
 "When Did Global Warming Stop" Doc Snow’s treatment of the denier claim that there’s been no warming for the most recent N years. (See http://hubpages.com/@docsnow for more on him.)
 Jacobson WWS literature index
 On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
 Nonlinear feedbacks in climate (discussion of BlochJohnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
 The Sunlight Economy
 Social Cost of Carbon
 CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: Hao Ye
Liang, information flows, causation, and convergent crossmapping
Someone recommended the work of Liang recently in connection with causation and attribution studies, and their application to CO2 and climate change. Liang’s work is related to information flows and transfer entropies. As far as I know, the definitive work … Continue reading →
Posted in Akaike Information Criterion, American Association for the Advancement of Science, Anthropocene, attribution, carbon dioxide, climate, climate change, climate disruption, complex systems, convergent crossmapping, ecology, Egbert van Nes, Ethan Deyle, Floris Takens, George Sughihara, global warming, Hao Ye, Hyper Anthropocene, information theoretic statistics, Lenny Smith, modelfree forecasting, nonlinear systems, physics, statistics, Takens embedding theorem, theoretical physics, Timothy Lenton, Victor Brovkin

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Just because the data lies sometimes doesn’t mean it’s okay to censor it
Or, there’s no such thing as an outlier … Eli put up a post titled “The Data Lies. The Crisis in Observational Science and the Virtue of Strong Theory” at his lagomorph blog. Think of it: Data lying. Obviously this … Continue reading →
Posted in Akaike Information Criterion, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, Bayes, Bayesian, climate, climate change, climate models, data science, dynamical systems, ecology, Eli Rabett, environment, Ethan Deyle, George Sughihara, Hao Ye, Hyper Anthropocene, information theoretic statistics, IPCC, Kalman filter, kriging, Lenny Smith, maximum likelihood, model comparison, modelfree forecasting, physics, quantitative ecology, random walk processes, random walks, science, smart data, statespace models, statistics, Takens embedding theorem, the right to know, Timothy Lenton, Victor Brovkin

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“Stochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of weather and climate models”
Judith Berner, Ulrich Achatz, Lauriane Batté, Lisa Bengtsson, Alvaro De La Cámara, Hannah M. Christensen, Matteo Colangeli, Danielle R. B. Coleman, Daan Crommelin, Stamen I. Dolaptchiev, Christian L.E. Franzke, Petra Friederichs, Peter Imkeller, Heikki Järvinen, Stephan Juricke, Vassili Kitsios, François … Continue reading →
Posted in biology, climate models, complex systems, convergent crossmapping, data science, dynamical systems, ecology, Ethan Deyle, Floris Takens, George Sughihara, Hao Ye, likelihoodfree, Lorenz, mathematics, meteorological models, modelfree forecasting, physics, population biology, population dynamics, quantitative biology, quantitative ecology, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, statespace models, statistical dependence, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastic search, stochastics, Takens embedding theorem, time series, Victor Brovkin

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“Causal feedbacks in climate change”
Today I was reviewing and rereading the nonlinear time series technical literature I have, seeking ideas on how to go about using the statistical ensemble learning technique called “boosting” with them. (See the very nice book, R. E. Schapire, Y. … Continue reading →
Posted in Anthropocene, boosting, Carbon Cycle, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, cat1, climate, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, complex systems, convergent crossmapping, denial, differential equations, diffusion processes, dynamical systems, ecology, Egbert van Nes, empirical likelihood, ensembles, environment, Ethan Deyle, Floris Takens, forecasting, fossil fuels, geophysics, George Sughihara, global warming, greenhouse gases, Hao Ye, machine learning, Maren Scheffer, mathematics, maths, meteorology, physics, rationality, reasonableness, science, statespace models, Takens embedding theorem, time series, Timothy Lenton, Victor Brovkin

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