Category: George Sughihara

• Series, symmetrized Normalized Compressed Divergences and their logit transforms

  Akaike Information Criterion . bridge to somewhere . computation . content-free inference . data science . descriptive statistics . divergence measures . engineering . George Sughihara . information theoretic statistics . likelihood-free . machine learning . mathematics . model comparison . model-free forecasting . multivariate statistics . non-mechanistic modeling . non-parametric statistics . numerical algorithms . statistics . theoretical physics . thermodynamics . time series

  Jan 3.2019
• Today, now, and what of the future?

  adaptation . agroecology . Aldo Leopold . American Association for the Advancement of Science . argoecology . being carbon dioxide . biology . Boston Ethical Society . Botany . Buckminster Fuller . Charles Darwin . climate . climate change . David Suzuki . Earle Wilson . Ecological Society of America . Ecology Action . ethics . George Sughihara . Glen Peters . global warming . Grant Foster . Humans have a lot to answer for . Hyper Anthropocene . population biology . quantitative biology . quantitative ecology . Spaceship Earth . sustainability . The Demon Haunted World . the right to be and act stupid . the right to know . the tragedy of our present civilization . tragedy of the horizon . unreason . UU Humanists

  Sep 7.2018
• Liang, information flows, causation, and convergent cross-mapping

  Akaike Information Criterion . American Association for the Advancement of Science . Anthropocene . attribution . carbon dioxide . climate . climate change . climate disruption . complex systems . convergent cross-mapping . ecology . Egbert van Nes . Ethan Deyle . Floris Takens . George Sughihara . global warming . Hao Ye . Hyper Anthropocene . information theoretic statistics . Lenny Smith . model-free forecasting . nonlinear systems . physics . statistics . Takens embedding theorem . theoretical physics . Timothy Lenton . Victor Brovkin

  May 2.2017
• Just because the data lies sometimes doesn’t mean it’s okay to censor it

  Akaike Information Criterion . American Association for the Advancement of Science . American Meteorological Association . American Statistical Association . AMETSOC . Anthropocene . Bayes . Bayesian . climate . climate change . climate models . data science . dynamical systems . ecology . Eli Rabett . environment . Ethan Deyle . George Sughihara . Hao Ye . Hyper Anthropocene . information theoretic statistics . IPCC . Kalman filter . kriging . Lenny Smith . maximum likelihood . model comparison . model-free forecasting . physics . quantitative ecology . random walk processes . random walks . science . smart data . state-space models . statistics . Takens embedding theorem . the right to know . Timothy Lenton . Victor Brovkin

  May 1.2017
• Taking advantage of the natural skepticism and integrity of scientists and their co-workers, and their commitment to scientific process

  American Association for the Advancement of Science . American Meteorological Association . American Statistical Association . bridge to nowhere . Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists . climate disruption . climate economics . climate zombies . Daniel Kahneman . destructive economic development . engineering . ethics . evidence . force multiplier . George Sughihara . Humans have a lot to answer for . Hyper Anthropocene . ignorance . military inferiority . Minsky moment . organizational failures . Our Children’s Trust . rationality . reasonableness . science . science denier . selfishness . the right to be and act stupid . the right to know . the stack of lies . the tragedy of our present civilization . United States

  Apr 1.2017
• “Stochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of weather and climate models”

  biology . climate models . complex systems . convergent cross-mapping . data science . dynamical systems . ecology . Ethan Deyle . Floris Takens . George Sughihara . Hao Ye . likelihood-free . Lorenz . mathematics . meteorological models . model-free forecasting . physics . population biology . population dynamics . quantitative biology . quantitative ecology . Scripps Institution of Oceanography . state-space models . statistical dependence . statistics . stochastic algorithms . stochastic search . stochastics . Takens embedding theorem . time series . Victor Brovkin

  Jul 24.2016
• On Munshi mush

  Bayes . Bayesian . Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project . BEST . carbon dioxide . cat1 . climate . climate change . climate data . climate education . climate models . convergent cross-mapping . dynamic linear models . ecology . ENSO . environment . Ethan Deyle . evidence . geophysics . George Sughihara . global warming . greenhouse gases . information theoretic statistics . Kalman filter . mathematics . maths . meteorology . model comparison . NOAA . oceanography . prediction . state-space models . statistics . Takens embedding theorem . Techno Utopias . the right to know . theoretical physics . time series . zero carbon

  Jun 5.2016
• Remember 2012?

  adaptation . Anthropocene . Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project . Carbon Worshipers . climate . climate change . climate data . climate disruption . corporate litigation on damage from fossil fuel emissions . denial . environment . Exxon . FEMA . forecasting . forest fires . fossil fuels . fracking . games of chance . geophysics . George Sughihara . global warming . greenhouse gases . Hermann Scheer . Hyper Anthropocene . ignorance . liberal climate deniers . Mathematics and Climate Research Network . meteorology . physics . rationality . reasonableness . regime shifts . science . the right to be and act stupid . the right to know . the tragedy of our present civilization . the value of financial assets

  Apr 13.2016
• Of my favorite things …

  Anthropocene . bridge to somewhere . bucket list . Buckminster Fuller . Carl Sagan . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . compassion . data science . Earle Wilson . ecology . Ecology Action . environment . evolution . geophysics . George Sughihara . global warming . Hyper Anthropocene . life purpose . mathematics . mathematics education . maths . numerical analysis . optimization . philosophy . physical materialism . physics . population biology . population dynamics . proud dad . quantitative biology . quantitative ecology . rationality . reasonableness . science . sociology . statistics . stochastic algorithms

  Apr 4.2016
• HadCRUT4 and GISTEMP series filtered and estimated with simple RTS model

  AMETSOC . anemic data . Bayesian . boosting . bridge to somewhere . cat1 . changepoint detection . climate . climate change . climate data . climate disruption . climate models . complex systems . computation . data science . dynamical systems . geophysics . George Sughihara . global warming . hiatus . information theoretic statistics . machine learning . maths . meteorology . MIchael Mann . multivariate statistics . physics . prediction . Principles of Planetary Climate . rationality . reasonableness . regime shifts . sea level rise . time series

  Mar 18.2016
• “Causal feedbacks in climate change”

  Anthropocene . boosting . Carbon Cycle . carbon dioxide . Carbon Worshipers . cat1 . climate . climate change . climate data . climate disruption . complex systems . convergent cross-mapping . denial . differential equations . diffusion processes . dynamical systems . ecology . Egbert van Nes . empirical likelihood . ensembles . environment . Ethan Deyle . Floris Takens . forecasting . fossil fuels . geophysics . George Sughihara . global warming . greenhouse gases . Hao Ye . machine learning . Maren Scheffer . mathematics . maths . meteorology . physics . rationality . reasonableness . science . state-space models . Takens embedding theorem . time series . Timothy Lenton . Victor Brovkin

  Jan 20.2016
• All I do is complain, complain …

  bifurcations . chaos . citizen science . convergent cross-mapping . dynamic linear models . dynamical systems . engineering . Floris Takens . generalized linear models . geophysics . George Sughihara . ignorance . Lenny Smith . Lorenz . mathematics . maths . meteorology . prediction . probability . rationality . reasonableness . statistics . stochastic algorithms . stochastic search . stochastics . Takens embedding theorem . the right to know . time series

  Dec 23.2015