### Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

### Blogroll

- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- "The Expert"
- Gabriel's staircase
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Professor David Draper
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- All about Sankey diagrams
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- What If
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Awkward Botany
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Label Noise
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- American Statistical Association
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Gavin Simpson
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- London Review of Books
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom

### climate change

- And Then There's Physics
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Earth System Models
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Skeptical Science
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- RealClimate
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- World Weather Attribution
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Spectra Energy exposed
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- The Sunlight Economy
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- weather blocking patterns
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Risk and Well-Being
- Ice and Snow
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power

### Archives

### Jan Galkowski

# Category Archives: stepwise approximation

## Reanalysis of business visits from deployments of a mobile phone app

Updated, 20th October 2020 This reports a reanalysis of data from the deployment of a mobile phone app, as reported in: M. Yauck, L.-P. Rivest, G. Rothman, “Capture-recapture methods for data on the activation of applications on mobile phones“, Journal … Continue reading

Posted in Bayesian computational methods, biology, capture-mark-recapture, capture-recapture, Christian Robert, count data regression, cumulants, diffusion, diffusion processes, Ecological Society of America, ecology, epidemiology, experimental science, field research, Gibbs Sampling, Internet measurement, Jean-Michel Marin, linear regression, mark-recapture, mathematics, maximum likelihood, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, multilist methods, multivariate statistics, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric statistics, numerics, open source scientific software, Pierre-Simon Laplace, population biology, population dynamics, quantitative biology, quantitative ecology, R, R statistical programming language, sampling, sampling algorithms, segmented package in R, statistical ecology, statistical models, statistical regression, statistical series, statistics, stepwise approximation, stochastic algorithms, surveys, V. M. R. Muggeo
1 Comment

## Bayesian blocks via PELT in R

The Bayesian blocks algorithm of Scargle, Jackson, Norris, and Chiang has an enthusiastic user community in astrostatistics, in data mining, and among some in machine learning. It is a dynamic programming algorithm (see VanderPlas referenced below) and, so, exhibits optimality … Continue reading

Posted in American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, anomaly detection, astrophysics, Cauchy distribution, changepoint detection, engineering, geophysics, multivariate statistics, numerical analysis, numerical software, numerics, oceanography, population biology, population dynamics, Python 3, quantitative biology, quantitative ecology, R, Scargle, spatial statistics, square wave approximation, statistics, stepwise approximation, time series, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
3 Comments