
Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy

Blogroll
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- All about models
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Slice Sampling
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- James' Empty Blog
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Risk and Well-Being
- Mertonian norms
- Gabriel's staircase
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Number Cruncher Politics
- American Statistical Association
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
climate change
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Ice and Snow
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- And Then There's Physics
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Climate model projections versus observations
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- SolarLove
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- Skeptical Science
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Reanalyses.org
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: generalized linear mixed models
A quick note on modeling operational risk from count data
The blog statcompute recently featured a proposal encouraging the use of ordinal models for difficult risk regressions involving count data. This is actually a second installment of a two-part post on this problem, the first dealing with flexibility in count … Continue reading
Posted in American Statistical Association, Bayesian, Bayesian computational methods, count data regression, dichotomising continuous variables, dynamic generalized linear models, Frank Harrell, Frequentist, Generalize Additive Models, generalized linear mixed models, generalized linear models, GLMMs, GLMs, John Kruschke, maximum likelihood, model comparison, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, multivariate statistics, nonlinear, numerical software, numerics, premature categorization, probit regression, statistical regression, statistics
Tagged dichotomising continuous variables, dichotomizing continuous variables, premature categorization, splines
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Senn’s `… never having to say you are certain’ guest post from Mayo’s blog
via S. Senn: Being a statistician means never having to say you are certain (Guest Post) See also: E. Cai’s blog post “Applied Statistics Lesson of the Day – The Matched Pairs Experimental Design”, from February 2014 A. Deaton, N. … Continue reading
Posted in abstraction, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Statistical Association, cancer research, data science, ecology, experimental design, generalized linear mixed models, generalized linear models, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, medicine, sampling, statistics, the right to know
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Eli on “Tom [Karl]’s trick and experimental design“
A very fine post at Eli’s blog for students of statistics, meteorology, and climate (like myself) titled: Tom’s trick and experimental design Excerpt: This and the graph from Menne at the top shows that Karl’s trick is working. Although we … Continue reading
Posted in American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, anomaly detection, climate, climate change, climate data, data science, evidence, experimental design, generalized linear mixed models, GISTEMP, GLMMs, global warming, model comparison, model-free forecasting, reblog, sampling, sampling networks
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