Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Mertonian norms
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- James' Empty Blog
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- American Statistical Association
- Gavin Simpson
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Gabriel's staircase
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Label Noise
- Awkward Botany
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Ted Dunning
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- What If
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Earle Wilson
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
climate change
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Reanalyses.org
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Risk and Well-Being
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- And Then There's Physics
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- David Appell's early climate science
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: multivariate adaptive regression splines
climate model democracy
“One of the most interesting things about the MIP ensembles is that the mean of all the models generally has higher skill than any individual model.” We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all models are created equal, that … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, attribution, Bayesian model averaging, Bloomberg, citizen science, climate, climate business, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, climate education, climate justice, Climate Lab Book, climate models, coastal communities, coastal investment risks, complex systems, differential equations, disruption, dynamic linear models, dynamical systems, ecology, emergent organization, ensemble methods, ensemble models, ensembles, Eric Rignot, evidence, fear uncertainty and doubt, FEMA, forecasting, free flow of labor, global warming, greenhouse gases, greenwashing, Humans have a lot to answer for, Hyper Anthropocene, Jennifer Francis, Joe Romm, Kevin Anderson, Lévy flights, LBNL, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, liberal climate deniers, mathematics, mathematics education, model-free forecasting, multivariate adaptive regression splines, National Center for Atmospheric Research, obfuscating data, oceanography, open source scientific software, optimization, perceptrons, philosophy of science, phytoplankton
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Why smooth?
I’ve encountered a number of blog posts this week which seem not to understand the Bias-Variance Tradeoff in regard to Mean-Squared-Error. These arose in connection with smoothing splines, which I was studying in connection with multivariate adaptive regression splines, that … Continue reading
Posted in Akaike Information Criterion, American Statistical Association, Antarctica, carbon dioxide, climate change, denial, global warming, information theoretic statistics, likelihood-free, multivariate adaptive regression splines, non-parametric model, science denier, smoothing, splines, statistical dependence
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ecoquant
