Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Professor David Draper
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- All about models
- London Review of Books
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- Gavin Simpson
- Awkward Botany
- "The Expert"
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- GeoEnergy Math Prof Paul Pukite’s Web site devoted to energy derived from geological and geophysical processes and categorized according to its originating source.
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Karl Broman
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Mertonian norms
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
climate change
- SolarLove
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Spectra Energy exposed
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- weather blocking patterns
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Interview with Wally Broecker Interview with Wally Broecker
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- Skeptical Science
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Energy payback period for solar panels Considering everything, how long do solar panels have to operate to offset the energy used to produce them?
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Sea Change Boston
- Risk and Well-Being
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- Simple models of climate change
- And Then There's Physics
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- World Weather Attribution
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- David Appell's early climate science
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Ice and Snow
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: multivariate adaptive regression splines
climate model democracy
“One of the most interesting things about the MIP ensembles is that the mean of all the models generally has higher skill than any individual model.” We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all models are created equal, that … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, attribution, Bayesian model averaging, Bloomberg, citizen science, climate, climate business, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, climate education, climate justice, Climate Lab Book, climate models, coastal communities, coastal investment risks, complex systems, differential equations, disruption, dynamic linear models, dynamical systems, ecology, emergent organization, ensemble methods, ensemble models, ensembles, Eric Rignot, evidence, fear uncertainty and doubt, FEMA, forecasting, free flow of labor, global warming, greenhouse gases, greenwashing, Humans have a lot to answer for, Hyper Anthropocene, Jennifer Francis, Joe Romm, Kevin Anderson, Lévy flights, LBNL, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, liberal climate deniers, mathematics, mathematics education, model-free forecasting, multivariate adaptive regression splines, National Center for Atmospheric Research, obfuscating data, oceanography, open source scientific software, optimization, perceptrons, philosophy of science, phytoplankton
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Why smooth?
I’ve encountered a number of blog posts this week which seem not to understand the Bias-Variance Tradeoff in regard to Mean-Squared-Error. These arose in connection with smoothing splines, which I was studying in connection with multivariate adaptive regression splines, that … Continue reading
Posted in Akaike Information Criterion, American Statistical Association, Antarctica, carbon dioxide, climate change, denial, global warming, information theoretic statistics, likelihood-free, multivariate adaptive regression splines, non-parametric model, science denier, smoothing, splines, statistical dependence
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ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 