Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- What If
- American Statistical Association
- All about Sankey diagrams
- NCAR AtmosNews
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Karl Broman
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Survey Methodology, Prof Ron Fricker http://faculty.nps.edu/rdfricke/
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Professor David Draper
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Ted Dunning
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Awkward Botany
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- "The Expert"
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Gavin Simpson
- Mertonian norms
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- All about models
climate change
- weather blocking patterns
- Simple models of climate change
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- Skeptical Science
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- And Then There's Physics
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- David Appell's early climate science
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Sea Change Boston
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- Climate model projections versus observations
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Earth System Models
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Updating the Climate Science: What path is the real world following? From Professors Makiko Sato & James Hansen of Columbia University
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- SolarLove
- The Sunlight Economy
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- Social Cost of Carbon
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: non-parametric model
Calculating Derivatives from Random Forests
(Comment on prediction intervals for random forests, and links to a paper.) (Edits to repair smudges, 2020-06-28, about 0945 EDT. Closing comment, 2020-06-30, 1450 EDT.) There are lots of ways of learning about mathematical constructs, even about actual machines. One … Continue reading
Posted in bridge to somewhere, Calculus, dependent data, dynamic generalized linear models, dynamical systems, ensemble methods, ensemble models, filtering, forecasting, hierarchical clustering, linear regression, model-free forecasting, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric model, non-parametric statistics, numerical algorithms, prediction, R statistical programming language, random forests, regression, sampling, splines, statistical learning, statistical series, statistics, time derivatives, time series
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Result of our own fiddling: Bob Watson and climate risk
https://sms.cam.ac.uk/media/746045 Professor Bob Watson, University of East Anglia, presents the summary risk, climate change: The question is not whether the Earth’s climate will change in response to human activities, but when, where and by how much. Human activities are changing … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, attribution, carbon dioxide, Carbon Worshipers, catastrophe modeling, climate, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, climate economics, climate education, climate grief, climate justice, ecological disruption, ecology, Ecology Action, environment, global blinding, global warming, greenhouse gases, greenwashing, meteorology, National Center for Atmospheric Research, non-parametric model, Principles of Planetary Climate, radiative forcing, reasonableness, science, solar democracy, solar domination, solar energy, Solar Freakin' Roadways, solar power, SolarPV.tv, Solpad, Sonnen community, Spaceship Earth, stranded assets, sustainability, the energy of the people, the green century, the tragedy of our present civilization, the value of financial assets, tragedy of the horizon, utility company death spiral, water, wind energy, wind power
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Stream flow and P-splines: Using built-in estimates for smoothing
Mother Brook in Dedham Massachusetts was the first man-made canal in the United States. Dug in 1639, it connects the Charles River at Dedham, to the Neponset River in the Hyde Park section of Boston. It was originally an important … Continue reading
Posted in American Statistical Association, citizen data, citizen science, Clausius-Clapeyron equation, Commonwealth of Massachusetts, cross-validation, data science, dependent data, descriptive statistics, dynamic linear models, empirical likelihood, environment, flooding, floods, Grant Foster, hydrology, likelihood-free, meteorological models, model-free forecasting, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric, non-parametric model, non-parametric statistics, numerical algorithms, precipitation, quantitative ecology, statistical dependence, statistical series, stream flow, Tamino, the bootstrap, time series, water vapor
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The Johnson-Lindenstrauss Lemma, and the paradoxical power of random linear operators. Part 1.
Updated, 2018-12-04 I’ll be discussing the ramifications of: William B. Johnson and Joram Lindenstrauss, “Extensions of Lipschitz mappings into a Hilbert space, Contemporary Mathematics, 26:189–206, 1984. for several posts here. Some introduction and links to proofs and explications will be … Continue reading
Posted in clustering, data science, dimension reduction, information theoretic statistics, Johnson-Lindenstrauss Lemma, k-NN, Locality Sensitive Hashing, mathematics, maths, multivariate statistics, non-parametric model, numerical algorithms, numerical linear algebra, point pattern analysis, random projections, recommender systems, science, stochastic algorithms, stochastics, subspace projection methods
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Why smooth?
I’ve encountered a number of blog posts this week which seem not to understand the Bias-Variance Tradeoff in regard to Mean-Squared-Error. These arose in connection with smoothing splines, which I was studying in connection with multivariate adaptive regression splines, that … Continue reading
Posted in Akaike Information Criterion, American Statistical Association, Antarctica, carbon dioxide, climate change, denial, global warming, information theoretic statistics, likelihood-free, multivariate adaptive regression splines, non-parametric model, science denier, smoothing, splines, statistical dependence
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ecoquant
667 per centimeter : climate science, quantitative biology, statistics, and energy policy 