Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Peter Congdon's Bayesian statistical modeling Peter Congdon’s collection of links pertaining to his several books on Bayesian modeling
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Number Cruncher Politics
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Risk and Well-Being
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- James' Empty Blog
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- The Keeling Curve: its history History of the Keeling Curve and Charles David Keeling
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Ted Dunning
- Slice Sampling
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- "The Expert"
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
climate change
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- "Getting to the Energy Future We Want," Dr Steven Chu
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Simple models of climate change
- weather blocking patterns
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- The Scientific Case for Modern Human-caused Global Warming
- SolarLove
- Ice and Snow
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Sea Change Boston
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- Solar Gardens Community Power
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- MIT's Climate Primer
- Reanalyses.org
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- James Powell on sampling the climate consensus
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Mathematics and Climate Research Network The Mathematics and Climate Research Network (MCRN) engages mathematicians to collaborating on the cryosphere, conceptual model validation, data assimilation, the electric grid, food systems, nonsmooth systems, paleoclimate, resilience, tipping points.
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Documenting the Climate Deniarati at work
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: ensemble methods
Calculating Derivatives from Random Forests
(Comment on prediction intervals for random forests, and links to a paper.) (Edits to repair smudges, 2020-06-28, about 0945 EDT. Closing comment, 2020-06-30, 1450 EDT.) There are lots of ways of learning about mathematical constructs, even about actual machines. One … Continue reading
Posted in bridge to somewhere, Calculus, dependent data, dynamic generalized linear models, dynamical systems, ensemble methods, ensemble models, filtering, forecasting, hierarchical clustering, linear regression, model-free forecasting, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, non-mechanistic modeling, non-parametric model, non-parametric statistics, numerical algorithms, prediction, R statistical programming language, random forests, regression, sampling, splines, statistical learning, statistical series, statistics, time derivatives, time series
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climate model democracy
“One of the most interesting things about the MIP ensembles is that the mean of all the models generally has higher skill than any individual model.” We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all models are created equal, that … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, attribution, Bayesian model averaging, Bloomberg, citizen science, climate, climate business, climate change, climate data, climate disruption, climate education, climate justice, Climate Lab Book, climate models, coastal communities, coastal investment risks, complex systems, differential equations, disruption, dynamic linear models, dynamical systems, ecology, emergent organization, ensemble methods, ensemble models, ensembles, Eric Rignot, evidence, fear uncertainty and doubt, FEMA, forecasting, free flow of labor, global warming, greenhouse gases, greenwashing, Humans have a lot to answer for, Hyper Anthropocene, Jennifer Francis, Joe Romm, Kevin Anderson, Lévy flights, LBNL, leaving fossil fuels in the ground, liberal climate deniers, mathematics, mathematics education, model-free forecasting, multivariate adaptive regression splines, National Center for Atmospheric Research, obfuscating data, oceanography, open source scientific software, optimization, perceptrons, philosophy of science, phytoplankton
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forecast for 27th March 2018
Today is the 21st of March, 2018. We are supposed to get our fourth nor’easter tomorrow this late Winter, and the third nor’easter in nearly as many weeks. ECMWF hosted, in this incarnation, at the Meteocentre UQAM in Montreal created … Continue reading
Posted in American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, atmosphere, climate, climate change, climate disruption, climate education, climate models, coastal communities, ensemble methods, ensemble models, fluid dynamics, forecasting, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, Mathematics and Climate Research Network, meteorological models, meteorology, numerical algorithms, physics, science, science education, spaghetti plots, tragedy of the horizon, water vapor
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Sea-level report cards, contingency upon model character, and ensemble methods
Done by the Virginia Institute of Marine Science, new sea-level report cards offer a look at current sea-level rise rates, and projections. What’s interesting to me is making the projections conditional upon the character of the model used to project. … Continue reading
Posted in adaptation, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, anomaly detection, Bayesian model averaging, changepoint detection, climate disruption, climate economics, climate education, coastal communities, coasts, dynamical systems, ensemble methods, ensemble models, flooding, geophysics, global warming, Grant Foster, Hyper Anthropocene, ice sheet dynamics, icesheets, living shorelines, meteorological models, nonlinear systems, prediction, sea level rise, shorelines, Skeptical Science, spaghetti plots, temporal myopia, the right to be and act stupid, the right to know, the value of financial assets, tragedy of the horizon
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ecoquant
