Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Giant vertical monopolies for energy have stopped making sense
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- James' Empty Blog
- Healthy Home Healthy Planet
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Karl Broman
- London Review of Books
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Label Noise
- Number Cruncher Politics
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Mertonian norms
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Harvard's Project Implicit
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI)
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- Thaddeus Stevens quotes As I get older, I admire this guy more and more
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- The Alliance for Securing Democracy dashboard
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- OOI Data Nuggets OOI Ocean Data Lab: The Data Nuggets
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- Fear and Loathing in Data Science Cory Lesmeister’s savage journey to the heart of Big Data
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- Tony Seba Solar energy, electric vehicle, energy storage, and business disruption professor and visionary
- Slice Sampling
- Earle Wilson
- What If
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Awkward Botany
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
climate change
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- The Sunlight Economy
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Simple models of climate change
- Ice and Snow
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Skeptical Science
- All Models Are Wrong Dr Tamsin Edwards blog about uncertainty in science, and climate science
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- Climate Change: A health emergency … New England Journal of Medicine Caren G. Solomon, M.D., M.P.H., and Regina C. LaRocque, M.D., M.P.H., January 17, 2019 N Engl J Med 2019; 380:209-211 DOI: 10.1056/NEJMp1817067
- Grid parity map for Solar PV in United States
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 1 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. In two parts.
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- SolarLove
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- HotWhopper: It's excellent. Global warming and climate change. Eavesdropping on the deniosphere, its weird pseudo-science and crazy conspiracy whoppers.
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Risk and Well-Being
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- And Then There's Physics
- RealClimate
- Ellenbogen: There is no Such Thing as Wind Turbine Syndrome
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- Non-linear feedbacks in climate (discussion of Bloch-Johnson, Pierrehumbert, Abbot paper) Discussion of http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL064240/abstract
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- David Appell's early climate science
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Klaus Lackner (ASU), Silicon Kingdom Holdings (SKH) Capturing CO2 from air at scale
- "Climate science is setttled enough"
- Social Cost of Carbon
- Tamino's Open Mind Open Mind: A statistical look at climate, its science, and at science denial
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Spectra Energy exposed
- Simple box models and climate forcing IMO one of Tamino’s best posts illustrating climate forcing using simple box models
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Nick Bower's "Scared Scientists"
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: notes
Global blinding, or Nature’s revenge against meteorologists who deny climate disruption
Given climate disruption due to radiative forcing from excess atmospheric CO2, which is a premise of this blog, it is only reasonable to wonder about, speculate, hypothesize, and posit that eventually the amount of this forcing and the feedbacks in … Continue reading
Posted in Accuweather, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, climate, climate business, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate justice, dynamical systems, Eaarth, environment, evidence, forecasting, games of chance, geophysics, global blinding, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, Kerry Emanuel, meteorological models, meteorology, National Center for Atmospheric Research, NCAR, nonlinear systems, notes, oceanic eddies, oceanography, radiative forcing, Ricky Rood, science, the right to be and act stupid, the tragedy of our present civilization, theoretical physics
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“Human activity has nothing big enough to affect Earth”
“Human activity has nothing big enough to affect Earth.” That’s disingenuous and, usually, the speaker knows better but is trying to dissuade an audience from thinking human activity does. Or they parrot someone who is trying to do that. But … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, biology, bridge to nowhere, carbon dioxide, Carbon Tax, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, consumption, ecology, economics, energy, energy reduction, engineering, environment, ethics, fossil fuel divestment, geophysics, history, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, meteorology, methane, natural gas, notes, open data, physics, politics, population biology, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, solar power, statistics, the right to know, time series, wind power
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and logistic regression
This post could also be subtitled “Residual deviance isn’t the whole story.” My favorite book on logistic regression is by Dr Joseph Hilbe, Logistic Regression Models, CRC Press, 2009, Chapman & Hill. It is a solidly frequentist text, but its … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Bayesian, logistic regression, MCMC, notes, R, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastic search
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Codium fragile, for Saturday, 17th January 2015
With today’s post, I’m beginning a new tradition at 667 per cm, posting a potpourri of short observations collected during the week, not necessarily having dense citations to work which inspired them. (Although if interested, please do ask and I’ll … Continue reading
Posted in art, arXiv, astronomy, astrophysics, atheism, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide capture, Carbon Tax, Carl Sagan, chemistry, citizen science, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, conservation, consumption, decentralized electric power generation, demand-side solutions, ecology, economics, energy, engineering, environment, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, geoengineering, history, humanism, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, meteorology, methane, microgrids, NASA, Neill deGrasse Tyson, new forms of scientific peer review, NOAA, notes, nuclear power, oceanography, open data, open source scientific software, physics, politics, Principles of Planetary Climate, rationality, reasonableness, reproducible research, science, science education, scientific publishing, sociology, the right to know
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‘We’re due for one; it’s time’
The title is a paraphrase. This post is written with some irritation at a NOAA meteorologist, (presumably Dr) Glen Field who, on camera, flaunts his poor knowledge of probability and statistics, and misleads the public in doing so. See this … Continue reading
“Laughin’ Fool Blues”
It’s midsummer, and time to hear from Doc Snow, and some “Laughin’ Fool Blues”.
“Without even thinking very hard …”: My favorite post from RealClimate
Professor Ray Pierrehumbert’s “Open Letter to Steve Levitt” has to be my favorite post on RealClimate. Not only does it do “Consider a spherical cow” kinds of quick calculation, in a Socratic manner it exposes the manipulation which climate deniers or, if … Continue reading
Posted in chemistry, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate education, ecology, economics, education, efficiency, energy, engineering, environment, geoengineering, geophysics, history, meteorology, notes, oceanography, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science
Tagged freakonomics
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Nerds vs. Breaking Bad
Very worthwhile to read Okazaki’s Nerds vs. Breaking Bad. I have just watched the first three episodes of this show and I have mixed feelings about it. I’m not giving it a review here but just want to make three … Continue reading
Posted in chemistry, compassion, education, engineering, history, notes, rationality, reasonableness, science
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“Double Plus Big Data”
Big Data. All the rage. Why? Apart from distributed software folks strutting their stuff, something which is likely to be fleeting, especially when quantum computing comes around, what does it buy anyone? I can see four possibilities, which I consider … Continue reading
My favorite definitions from Professor Andrew Gelman
Professor Gelman has a nice list of statistical definitions, educational like nearly everything he does or writes: The Folk Theorem: When you have computational problems, often there’s a problem with your model. Second-Order Availability Bias: Generalizing from correlations you see … Continue reading
Posted in education, maths, notes, rationality, statistics
Tagged fallacies, statistics
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Protected: Questions on “Pseudospectra of semiclassical boundary value problems”, Jeff Galkowski
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Protected: Questions regarding “Quantum ergodicity for a class of mixed systems”, Jeff Galkowski
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ecoquant
