Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- Mertonian norms
- South Shore Recycling Cooperative Materials management, technical assistance and networking, town advocacy, public outreach
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Earth Family Alpha Michael Osborne’s blog (former Executive at Austin Energy, now Chairman of the Electric Utility Commission for Austin, Texas)
- John Cook's reasons to use Bayesian inference
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Ted Dunning
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- In Monte Carlo We Trust The statistics blog of Matt Asher, actually called the “Probability and Statistics Blog”, but his subtitle is much more appealing. Asher has a Manifesto at http://www.statisticsblog.com/manifesto/.
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- distributed solar and matching location to need
- Nadler Strategy, LLC, on sustainability Thinking about business, efficient and effective management, and business value
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- James' Empty Blog
- Dr James Spall's SPSA
- Slice Sampling
- Gabriel's staircase
- Gavin Simpson
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Mark Berliner's video lecture "Bayesian mechanistic-statistical modeling with examples in geophysical settings"
- What If
- All about models
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- ggplot2 and ggfortify Plotting State Space Time Series with ggplot2 and ggfortify
- Earle Wilson
- "Talking Politics" podcast David Runciman, Helen Thompson
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Risk and Well-Being
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Team Andrew Weinberg Walking September 8th for the Jimmy Fund!
- Hermann Scheer Hermann Scheer was a visionary, a major guy, who thought deep thoughts about energy, and its implications for humanity’s relationship with physical reality
- "Consider a Flat Pond" Invited talk introducing systems thinking, by Jan Galkowski, at First Parish in Needham, UU, via Zoom
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- Dollars per BBL: Energy in Transition
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard on how businesses can help our collective environmental mess Patagonia’s Yvon Chouinard set the standard for how a business can mitigate the ravages of capitalism on earth’s environment. At 81 years old, he’s just getting started.
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- NCAR AtmosNews
- Darren Wilkinson's introduction to ABC Darren Wilkinson’s introduction to approximate Bayesian computation (“ABC”). See also his post about summary statistics for ABC https://darrenjw.wordpress.com/2013/09/01/summary-stats-for-abc/
climate change
- Skeptical Science
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- The Sunlight Economy
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- The great Michael Osborne's latest opinions Michael Osborne is a genius operative and champion of solar energy. I have learned never to disregard ANYTHING he says. He is mentor of Karl Ragabo, and the genius instigator of the Texas renewable energy miracle.
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- David Appell's early climate science
- Mrooijer's Global Temperature Explorer
- The Carbon Cycle The Carbon Cycle, monitored by The Carbon Project
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- `The unchained goddess' 1958 Bell Telephone Science Hour broadcast regarding, among other things, climate change.
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- On Thomas Edison and Solar Electric Power
- Steve Easterbrook's excellent climate blog: See his "The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet?" for example Heavy on data and computation, Easterbrook is a CS prof at UToronto, but is clearly familiar with climate science. I like his “The Internet: Saving Civilization or Trashing the Planet” very much.
- James Hansen and granddaughter Sophie on moving forward with progress on climate
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Risk and Well-Being
- Simple models of climate change
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- Ricky Rood's “What would happen to climate if we (suddenly) stopped emitting GHGs today?
- Climate Change Denying Organizations
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- RealClimate
- Wind sled Wind sled: A zero carbon way of exploring ice sheets
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Sea Change Boston
- `Who to believe on climate change': Simple checks By Bart Verheggen
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- "Mighty Microgrids" Webinar This is a Webinar on YouTube about Microgrids from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance (ILSR), featuring New York State and Minnesota
- "Betting strategies on fluctuations in the transient response of greenhouse warming" By Risbey, Lewandowsky, Hunter, Monselesan: Betting against climate change on durations of 15+ years is no longer a rational proposition.
- ATTP summarizes all that stuff about Committed Warming from AND THEN THERE’S PHYSICS
- Ice and Snow
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- And Then There's Physics
- Eli on the spectroscopic basis of atmospheric radiation physical chemistry
- "Warming Slowdown?" (part 2 of 2) The idea of a global warming slowdown or hiatus is critically examined, emphasizing the literature, the datasets, and means and methods for telling such. The second part.
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
- World Weather Attribution
- Reanalyses.org
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- The HUMAN-caused greenhouse effect, in under 5 minutes, by Bill Nye
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: notes
Global blinding, or Nature’s revenge against meteorologists who deny climate disruption
Given climate disruption due to radiative forcing from excess atmospheric CO2, which is a premise of this blog, it is only reasonable to wonder about, speculate, hypothesize, and posit that eventually the amount of this forcing and the feedbacks in … Continue reading
Posted in Accuweather, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, climate, climate business, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate justice, dynamical systems, Eaarth, environment, evidence, forecasting, games of chance, geophysics, global blinding, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, Kerry Emanuel, meteorological models, meteorology, National Center for Atmospheric Research, NCAR, nonlinear systems, notes, oceanic eddies, oceanography, radiative forcing, Ricky Rood, science, the right to be and act stupid, the tragedy of our present civilization, theoretical physics
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“Human activity has nothing big enough to affect Earth”
“Human activity has nothing big enough to affect Earth.” That’s disingenuous and, usually, the speaker knows better but is trying to dissuade an audience from thinking human activity does. Or they parrot someone who is trying to do that. But … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, biology, bridge to nowhere, carbon dioxide, Carbon Tax, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, consumption, ecology, economics, energy, energy reduction, engineering, environment, ethics, fossil fuel divestment, geophysics, history, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, meteorology, methane, natural gas, notes, open data, physics, politics, population biology, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, solar power, statistics, the right to know, time series, wind power
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and logistic regression
This post could also be subtitled “Residual deviance isn’t the whole story.” My favorite book on logistic regression is by Dr Joseph Hilbe, Logistic Regression Models, CRC Press, 2009, Chapman & Hill. It is a solidly frequentist text, but its … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Bayesian, logistic regression, MCMC, notes, R, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastic search
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Codium fragile, for Saturday, 17th January 2015
With today’s post, I’m beginning a new tradition at 667 per cm, posting a potpourri of short observations collected during the week, not necessarily having dense citations to work which inspired them. (Although if interested, please do ask and I’ll … Continue reading
Posted in art, arXiv, astronomy, astrophysics, atheism, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide capture, Carbon Tax, Carl Sagan, chemistry, citizen science, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, conservation, consumption, decentralized electric power generation, demand-side solutions, ecology, economics, energy, engineering, environment, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, geoengineering, history, humanism, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, meteorology, methane, microgrids, NASA, Neill deGrasse Tyson, new forms of scientific peer review, NOAA, notes, nuclear power, oceanography, open data, open source scientific software, physics, politics, Principles of Planetary Climate, rationality, reasonableness, reproducible research, science, science education, scientific publishing, sociology, the right to know
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‘We’re due for one; it’s time’
The title is a paraphrase. This post is written with some irritation at a NOAA meteorologist, (presumably Dr) Glen Field who, on camera, flaunts his poor knowledge of probability and statistics, and misleads the public in doing so. See this … Continue reading
“Laughin’ Fool Blues”
It’s midsummer, and time to hear from Doc Snow, and some “Laughin’ Fool Blues”.
“Without even thinking very hard …”: My favorite post from RealClimate
Professor Ray Pierrehumbert’s “Open Letter to Steve Levitt” has to be my favorite post on RealClimate. Not only does it do “Consider a spherical cow” kinds of quick calculation, in a Socratic manner it exposes the manipulation which climate deniers or, if … Continue reading
Posted in chemistry, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate education, ecology, economics, education, efficiency, energy, engineering, environment, geoengineering, geophysics, history, meteorology, notes, oceanography, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science
Tagged freakonomics
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Nerds vs. Breaking Bad
Very worthwhile to read Okazaki’s Nerds vs. Breaking Bad. I have just watched the first three episodes of this show and I have mixed feelings about it. I’m not giving it a review here but just want to make three … Continue reading
Posted in chemistry, compassion, education, engineering, history, notes, rationality, reasonableness, science
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“Double Plus Big Data”
Big Data. All the rage. Why? Apart from distributed software folks strutting their stuff, something which is likely to be fleeting, especially when quantum computing comes around, what does it buy anyone? I can see four possibilities, which I consider … Continue reading
My favorite definitions from Professor Andrew Gelman
Professor Gelman has a nice list of statistical definitions, educational like nearly everything he does or writes: The Folk Theorem: When you have computational problems, often there’s a problem with your model. Second-Order Availability Bias: Generalizing from correlations you see … Continue reading
Posted in education, maths, notes, rationality, statistics
Tagged fallacies, statistics
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Protected: Questions on “Pseudospectra of semiclassical boundary value problems”, Jeff Galkowski
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Protected: Questions regarding “Quantum ergodicity for a class of mixed systems”, Jeff Galkowski
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ecoquant
