Distributed Solar: The Democratizaton of Energy
Blogroll
- AP Statistics: Sampling, by Michael Porinchak Twin City Schools
- All about Sankey diagrams
- Quotes by Nikola Tesla Quotes by Nikola Tesla, including some of others he greatly liked.
- Awkward Botany
- What If
- "Impacts of Green New Deal energy plans on grid stability, costs, jobs, health, and climate in 143 countries" (Jacobson, Delucchi, Cameron, et al) Global warming, air pollution, and energy insecurity are three of the greatest problems facing humanity. To address these problems, we develop Green New Deal energy roadmaps for 143 countries.
- Why It’s So Freaking Hard To Make A Good COVID-19 Model Five Thirty Eight’s take on why pandemic modeling is so difficult
- Simon Wood's must-read paper on dynamic modeling of complex systems I highlighted Professor Wood’s paper in https://hypergeometric.wordpress.com/2014/12/26/struggling-with-problems-already-attacked/
- Logistic curves in market disruption From DollarsPerBBL, about logistic or S-curves as models of product take-up rather than exponentials, with notes on EVs
- Subsidies for wind and solar versus subsidies for fossil fuels
- Charlie Kufs' "Stats With Cats" blog “You took Statistics 101. Now what?”
- Why "naive Bayes" is not Bayesian Explains why the so-called “naive Bayes” classifier is not Bayesian. The setup is okay, but estimating probabilities by doing relative frequencies instead of using Dirichlet conjugate priors or integration strays from The Path.
- Higgs from AIR describing NAO and EA Stephanie Higgs from AIR Worldwide gives a nice description of NAO and EA in the context of discussing “The Geographic Impact of Climate Signals on European Winter Storms”
- Los Alamos Center for Bayesian Methods
- Karl Broman
- Leadership lessons from Lao Tzu
- American Statistical Association
- Tim Harford's “More or Less'' Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life
- All about ENSO, and lunar tides (Paul Pukite) Historically, ENSO has been explained in terms of winds. But recently — and Dr Paul Pukite has insisted upon this for a long time — the oscillation of ENSO has been explained as a large-scale slosh due to lunar tidal forcing.
- Prediction vs Forecasting: Knaub “Unfortunately, ‘prediction,’ such as used in model-based survey estimation, is a term that is often subsumed under the term ‘forecasting,’ but here we show why it is important not to confuse these two terms.”
- John Kruschke's "Dong Bayesian data analysis" blog Expanding and enhancing John’s book of same title (now in second edition!)
- London Review of Books
- Dominic Cummings blog Chief advisor to the PM, United Kingdom
- Beautiful Weeds of New York City
- Carl Safina's blog One of the wisest on Earth
- Flettner Rotor Bruce Yeany introduces the Flettner Rotor and related science
- Ted Dunning
- SASB Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
- Brendon Brewer on Overfitting Important and insightful presentation by Brendon Brewer on overfitting
- The Plastic Pick-Up: Discovering new sources of marine plastic pollution
- Rasmus Bååth's Research Blog Bayesian statistics and data analysis
- Busting Myths About Heat Pumps Heat pumps are perhaps the most efficient heating and cooling systems available. Recent literature distributed by utilities hawking natural gas and other sources use performance figures from heat pumps as they were available 15 years ago. See today’s.
- International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)
- Brian McGill's Dynamic Ecology blog Quantitative biology with pithy insights regarding applications of statistical methods
- Ives and Dakos techniques for regime changes in series
- Comprehensive Guide to Bayes Rule
- Pat's blog While it is described as “The mathematical (and other) thoughts of a (now retired) math teacher”, this is false humility, as it chronicles the present and past life and times of mathematicians in their context. Recommended.
- "Perpetual Ocean" from NASA GSFC
- Earth Family Beta MIchael Osborne’s blog on Science and the like
- Risk and Well-Being
- Leverhulme Centre for Climate Change Mitigation
- Musings on Quantitative Paleoecology Quantitative methods and palaeoenvironments.
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION Cathy O’Neil’s WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION,
- Lenny Smith's CHAOS: A VERY SHORT INTRODUCTION This is a PDF version of Lenny Smith’s book of the same title, also available from Amazon.com
- WEAPONS OF MATH DESTRUCTION, reviews Reviews of Cathy O’Neil’s new book
- Bob Altemeyer on authoritarianism (via Dan Satterfield) The science behind the GOP civil war
- Mrooijer's Numbers R 4Us
- Mike Bloomberg, 2020 He can get progress on climate done, has the means and experts to counter the Trump and Republican digital disinformation machine, and has the experience, knowledge, and depth of experience to achieve and unify.
- BioPython A collection of Python tools for quantitative Biology
- The Mermaid's Tale A conversation about biological complexity and evolution, and the societal aspects of science
climate change
- Jacobson WWS literature index
- Climate Change Reports By John and Mel Harte
- Wally Broecker on climate realism
- Isaac Held's blog In the spirit of Ray Pierrehumbert’s “big ideas come from small models” in his textbook, PRINCIPLES OF PLANETARY CLIMATE, Dr Held presents quantitative essays regarding one feature or another of the Earth’s climate and weather system.
- Climate model projections versus observations
- Climate Communication Hassol, Somerville, Melillo, and Hussin site communicating climate to the public
- Simple models of climate change
- The Keeling Curve The first, and one of the best programs for creating a spatially significant long term time series of atmospheric concentrations of CO2. Started amongst great obstacles by one, smart determined guy, Charles David Keeling.
- US$165/tonne CO2: Sweden Sweden has a Carbon Dioxide tax of US$165 per tonne at present. CO2 tax was imposed in 1991. GDP has grown 60%.
- Paul Beckwith Professor Beckwith is, in my book, one of the most insightful and analytical observers on climate I know. I highly recommend his blog, and his other informational products.
- Climate change: Evidence and causes A project of the UK Royal Society: (1) Answers to key questions, (2) evidence and causes, and (3) a short guide to climate science
- The net average effect of a warming climate is increased aridity (Professor Steven Sherwood)
- The Sunlight Economy
- Climate at a glance Current state of the climate, from NOAA
- Professor Robert Strom's compendium of resources on climate change Truly excellent
- Dessler's 6 minute Greenhouse Effect video
- Équiterre Equiterre helps build a social movement by encouraging individuals, organizations and governments to make ecological and equitable choices, in a spirit of solidarity.
- Thriving on Low Carbon
- AIP's history of global warming science: impacts The American Institute of Physics has a fine history of the science of climate change. This link summarizes the history of impacts of climate change.
- CLIMATE ADAM Previously from the Science news staff at the podcast of Nature (“Nature Podcast”), the journal, now on YouTube, encouraging climate action through climate comedy.
- The Green Plate Effect Eli Rabett’s “The Green Plate Effect”
- David Appell's early climate science
- Model state level energy policy for New Englad Bob Massie’s proposed energy policy for Massachusetts, an admirable model for energy policy anywhere in New England
- SOLAR PRODUCTION at Westwood Statistical Studios Generation charts for our home in Westwood, MA
- Warming slowdown discussion
- Reanalyses.org
- Anti—Anti-#ClimateEmergency Whether to declare a climate emergency is debatable. But some critics have gone way overboard.
- Agendaists Eli Rabett’s coining of a phrase
- Rabett Run Incisive analysis of climate science versus deliberate distraction
- Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
- “Ways to [try to] slow the Solar Century''
- Exxon-Mobil statement on UNFCCC COP21
- Sir David King David King’s perspective on climate, and the next thousands of years for humanity
- “The Irrelevance of Saturation: Why Carbon Dioxide Matters'' (Bart Levenson)
- The beach boondoggle Prof Rob Young on how owners of beach property are socializing their risks at costs to all of us, not the least being it seems coastal damage is less than it actually is
- Tell Utilities Solar Won't Be Killed Barry Goldwater, Jr’s campaign to push for solar expansion against monopolistic utilities, as a Republican
- Transitioning to fully renewable energy Professor Saul Griffiths talks to transitioning the customer journey, from a dependency upon fossil fuels to an electrified future
- Climate impacts on retail and supply chains
- Andy Zucker's "Climate Change and Psychology"
- Earth System Models
- History of discovering Global Warming From the American Institute of Physics.
- "Lessons of the Little Ice Age" (Farber) From Dan Farber, at LEGAL PLANET
- Tuft's Professor Kenneth Lang on the physical chemistry of the Greenhouse Effect
- “The discovery of global warming'' (American Institute of Physics)
- Ice and Snow
- "A field guide to the climate clowns"
- NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index report The annual assessment by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the radiative forcing from constituent atmospheric greenhouse gases
- An open letter to Steve Levitt
- Bloomberg interactive graph on “What's warming the world''
- Ray Pierrehumbert's site related to "Principles of Planetary Climate" THE book on climate science
Archives
Jan Galkowski
Category Archives: notes
Global blinding, or Nature’s revenge against meteorologists who deny climate disruption
Given climate disruption due to radiative forcing from excess atmospheric CO2, which is a premise of this blog, it is only reasonable to wonder about, speculate, hypothesize, and posit that eventually the amount of this forcing and the feedbacks in … Continue reading
Posted in Accuweather, American Association for the Advancement of Science, American Meteorological Association, American Statistical Association, AMETSOC, Anthropocene, climate, climate business, climate change, climate disruption, climate economics, climate justice, dynamical systems, Eaarth, environment, evidence, forecasting, games of chance, geophysics, global blinding, global warming, Hyper Anthropocene, Kerry Emanuel, meteorological models, meteorology, National Center for Atmospheric Research, NCAR, nonlinear systems, notes, oceanic eddies, oceanography, radiative forcing, Ricky Rood, science, the right to be and act stupid, the tragedy of our present civilization, theoretical physics
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“Human activity has nothing big enough to affect Earth”
“Human activity has nothing big enough to affect Earth.” That’s disingenuous and, usually, the speaker knows better but is trying to dissuade an audience from thinking human activity does. Or they parrot someone who is trying to do that. But … Continue reading
Posted in Anthropocene, biology, bridge to nowhere, carbon dioxide, Carbon Tax, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, consumption, ecology, economics, energy, energy reduction, engineering, environment, ethics, fossil fuel divestment, geophysics, history, investing, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, meteorology, methane, natural gas, notes, open data, physics, politics, population biology, reasonableness, risk, science, science education, solar power, statistics, the right to know, time series, wind power
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Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and logistic regression
This post could also be subtitled “Residual deviance isn’t the whole story.” My favorite book on logistic regression is by Dr Joseph Hilbe, Logistic Regression Models, CRC Press, 2009, Chapman & Hill. It is a solidly frequentist text, but its … Continue reading
Posted in Bayes, Bayesian, logistic regression, MCMC, notes, R, statistics, stochastic algorithms, stochastic search
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Codium fragile, for Saturday, 17th January 2015
With today’s post, I’m beginning a new tradition at 667 per cm, posting a potpourri of short observations collected during the week, not necessarily having dense citations to work which inspired them. (Although if interested, please do ask and I’ll … Continue reading
Posted in art, arXiv, astronomy, astrophysics, atheism, carbon dioxide, carbon dioxide capture, Carbon Tax, Carl Sagan, chemistry, citizen science, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate change, climate education, conservation, consumption, decentralized electric power generation, demand-side solutions, ecology, economics, energy, engineering, environment, forecasting, fossil fuel divestment, geoengineering, history, humanism, investment in wind and solar energy, IPCC, meteorology, methane, microgrids, NASA, Neill deGrasse Tyson, new forms of scientific peer review, NOAA, notes, nuclear power, oceanography, open data, open source scientific software, physics, politics, Principles of Planetary Climate, rationality, reasonableness, reproducible research, science, science education, scientific publishing, sociology, the right to know
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‘We’re due for one; it’s time’
The title is a paraphrase. This post is written with some irritation at a NOAA meteorologist, (presumably Dr) Glen Field who, on camera, flaunts his poor knowledge of probability and statistics, and misleads the public in doing so. See this … Continue reading
“Laughin’ Fool Blues”
It’s midsummer, and time to hear from Doc Snow, and some “Laughin’ Fool Blues”.
“Without even thinking very hard …”: My favorite post from RealClimate
Professor Ray Pierrehumbert’s “Open Letter to Steve Levitt” has to be my favorite post on RealClimate. Not only does it do “Consider a spherical cow” kinds of quick calculation, in a Socratic manner it exposes the manipulation which climate deniers or, if … Continue reading
Posted in chemistry, citizenship, civilization, climate, climate education, ecology, economics, education, efficiency, energy, engineering, environment, geoengineering, geophysics, history, meteorology, notes, oceanography, physics, politics, rationality, reasonableness, risk, science
Tagged freakonomics
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Nerds vs. Breaking Bad
Very worthwhile to read Okazaki’s Nerds vs. Breaking Bad. I have just watched the first three episodes of this show and I have mixed feelings about it. I’m not giving it a review here but just want to make three … Continue reading
Posted in chemistry, compassion, education, engineering, history, notes, rationality, reasonableness, science
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“Double Plus Big Data”
Big Data. All the rage. Why? Apart from distributed software folks strutting their stuff, something which is likely to be fleeting, especially when quantum computing comes around, what does it buy anyone? I can see four possibilities, which I consider … Continue reading
My favorite definitions from Professor Andrew Gelman
Professor Gelman has a nice list of statistical definitions, educational like nearly everything he does or writes: The Folk Theorem: When you have computational problems, often there’s a problem with your model. Second-Order Availability Bias: Generalizing from correlations you see … Continue reading
Posted in education, maths, notes, rationality, statistics
Tagged fallacies, statistics
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Protected: Questions on “Pseudospectra of semiclassical boundary value problems”, Jeff Galkowski
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Protected: Questions regarding “Quantum ergodicity for a class of mixed systems”, Jeff Galkowski
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ecoquant
