Category: population biology

• Carbon Sinks in Crisis — It Looks Like the World’s Largest Rainforest is Starting to Bleed Greenhouse Gasses

  bifurcations . carbon dioxide . carbon dioxide sequestration . changepoint detection . climate . climate change . climate disruption . disruption . dynamical systems . environment . exponential growth . fossil fuels . geophysics . global warming . IPCC . Lévy flights . Lorenz . Minsky moment . model-free forecasting . physics . population biology . population dynamics . Principles of Planetary Climate . quantitative biology . quantitative ecology . random walk processes . Ray Pierrehumbert . reason . reasonableness . regime shifts . risk . Stefan Rahmstorf . the right to be and act stupid . the tragedy of our present civilization . UU Humanists

  Aug 16.2016
• “Holy crap – an actual book!”

  American Association for the Advancement of Science . Buckminster Fuller . business . citizen science . citizenship . civilization . complex systems . confirmation bias . data science . data streams . deep recurrent neural networks . denial . economics . education . engineering . ethics . evidence . Internet . investing . life purpose . machine learning . mathematical publishing . mathematics . mathematics education . maths . moral leadership . multivariate statistics . numerical software . numerics . obfuscating data . organizational failures . politics . population biology . prediction . prediction markets . privacy . quantitative biology . quantitative ecology . rationality . reason . reasonableness . rhetoric . risk . Schnabel census . smart data . sociology . statistical dependence . statistics . the right to be and act stupid . the right to know . the value of financial assets . transparency . UU Humanists

  Aug 10.2016
• Bayesian blocks via PELT in R

  American Statistical Association . AMETSOC . anomaly detection . astrophysics . Cauchy distribution . changepoint detection . engineering . geophysics . multivariate statistics . numerical analysis . numerical software . numerics . oceanography . population biology . population dynamics . Python 3 . quantitative biology . quantitative ecology . R . Scargle . spatial statistics . square wave approximation . statistics . stepwise approximation . time series . Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

  Aug 1.2016
• “Stochastic Parameterization: Towards a new view of weather and climate models”

  biology . climate models . complex systems . convergent cross-mapping . data science . dynamical systems . ecology . Ethan Deyle . Floris Takens . George Sughihara . Hao Ye . likelihood-free . Lorenz . mathematics . meteorological models . model-free forecasting . physics . population biology . population dynamics . quantitative biology . quantitative ecology . Scripps Institution of Oceanography . state-space models . statistical dependence . statistics . stochastic algorithms . stochastic search . stochastics . Takens embedding theorem . time series . Victor Brovkin

  Jul 24.2016
• Newt Gingrich and Van Jones. Right on.

  American Statistical Association . Bayes . Bayesian . citizen science . criminal justice . Daniel Kahneman . ethics . evidence . fear uncertainty and doubt . humanism . Lives Matter . logistic regression . Markov Chain Monte Carlo . MCMC . organizational failures . population biology . rationality . reasonableness . risk . statistics . Susan Jacoby . the right to know

  Jul 16.2016
• “Catching long tail distribution” (Ted Dunning)

  Cauchy distribution . complex systems . data science . Lévy flights . leptokurtic . mathematics . maths . networks . physics . population biology . population dynamics . regime shifts . sampling . statistics . Student t distribution . time series

  Jun 10.2016
• Of my favorite things …

  Anthropocene . bridge to somewhere . bucket list . Buckminster Fuller . Carl Sagan . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . compassion . data science . Earle Wilson . ecology . Ecology Action . environment . evolution . geophysics . George Sughihara . global warming . Hyper Anthropocene . life purpose . mathematics . mathematics education . maths . numerical analysis . optimization . philosophy . physical materialism . physics . population biology . population dynamics . proud dad . quantitative biology . quantitative ecology . rationality . reasonableness . science . sociology . statistics . stochastic algorithms

  Apr 4.2016
• p-values and hypothesis tests: the Bayesian(s) rule

  approximate Bayesian computation . arXiv . Bayes . Bayesian . Bayesian inversion . bollocks . Christian Robert . climate . complex systems . data science . Frequentist . information theoretic statistics . likelihood-free . Markov Chain Monte Carlo . MCMC . Monte Carlo Statistical Methods . population biology . rationality . reasonableness . science . scientific publishing . statistical dependence . statistics . stochastics . Student t distribution

  Mar 7.2016
• Techno Utopias

  adaptation . Anthropocene . bollocks . bridge to nowhere . carbon dioxide . carbon dioxide capture . carbon dioxide sequestration . civilization . climate . climate change . climate disruption . coastal communities . complex systems . consumption . COP21 . corporate supply chains . denial . disingenuity . economics . environment . ethics . evidence . exponential growth . extended supply chains . FEMA . finance . fossil fuels . games of chance . geophysics . glaciers . global warming . greenhouse gases . greenwashing . Hyper Anthropocene . icesheets . ignorance . IPCC . James Hansen . Kevin Anderson . Lenny Smith . liberal climate deniers . living shorelines . MA . meteorology . Neill deGrasse Tyson . oceanography . physics . planning . population biology . rationality . Ray Pierrehumbert . reasonableness . regime shifts . Sankey diagram . science . sea level rise . selfishness . silly tech devices . Techno Utopias . the right to know . the value of financial assets

  Feb 3.2016
• “Finding Dory”

  biology . compassion . Disney . ecology . Epcot . marine biology . Pixar . population biology . science . science education . Scripps Institution of Oceanography . Spaceship Earth . Walt Disney Company . WHOI . Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

  Jan 6.2016
• Pale Blue Dot

  astronomy . astrophysics . atheism . Bill Maher . Bill Nye . bollocks . Boston Ethical Society . Carl Sagan . citizenship . civilization . compassion . ecology . geophysics . humanism . NASA . physical materialism . physics . population biology . Sankey diagram . Spaceship Earth . statistics . stochastics

  Dec 9.2015
• Thoughts on “Regime Shift?”

  Bayesian . changepoint detection . climate change . climate disruption . climate models . dynamic linear models . ecology . ensembles . environment . global warming . population biology . Rauch-Tung-Striebel . regime shifts . state-space models . stochastic algorithms . time series

  Dec 3.2015
• Southern Oscillation (SOI) correlated with Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR)

  AMETSOC . bifurcations . carbon dioxide . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate models . Dan Satterfield . differential equations . dynamic linear models . dynamical systems . ENSO . environment . forecasting . generalized linear models . geophysics . global warming . greenhouse gases . IPCC . Mathematica . mathematics . maths . meteorology . NCAR . NOAA . numerical software . oceanography . open data . physics . population biology . Principles of Planetary Climate . rationality . reasonableness . science . Spaceship Earth . state-space models . thermodynamics . time series

  Nov 12.2015
• “Allocating a 2° C cumulative carbon budget to countries”: Gignac and Matthews

  adaptation . Anthropocene . Boston Ethical Society . bridge to nowhere . carbon dioxide . Carbon Tax . chance . chemistry . citizen science . citizenship . civilization . clean disruption . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . climate justice . compassion . conservation . consumption . decentralized energy . demand-side solutions . destructive economic development . ecology . education . energy . energy reduction . environment . ethics . forecasting . fossil fuel divestment . fossil fuels . geophysics . global warming . humanism . Hyper Anthropocene . ignorance . investment in wind and solar energy . IPCC . meteorology . mitigation . open source scientific software . physical materialism . physics . population biology . prediction . rationality . reasonableness . risk . science . science education . scientific publishing . sociology . solar power . sustainability . temporal myopia . the right to know . time series . UNFCCC . UU Humanists . wind power

  Aug 10.2015
• Alice Bell’s “A very short history of climate change research”

  astronomy . astrophysics . biology . carbon dioxide . civilization . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . climate models . dynamical systems . ecology . environment . forecasting . fossil fuels . geophysics . global warming . IPCC . James Hansen . meteorology . Neill deGrasse Tyson . NOAA . oceanography . physics . population biology . Principles of Planetary Climate . rationality . Ray Pierrehumbert . reasonableness . risk . science . science education . Scripps Institution of Oceanography . sea level rise . spatial statistics . statistics . sustainability . temporal myopia . UNFCCC . WHOI

  Aug 10.2015
• It was the year 2000, Elizabeth Houghton had just died, and the plan was to restore the ecosystems about Fowl Meadow

  biology . citizenship . consumption . destructive economic development . ecology . environment . ethics . exponential growth . floods . Hyper Anthropocene . ignorance . living shorelines . politics . population biology . prediction . rationality . reasonableness . risk . science . statistics . the right to know . transparency . University Station . Westwood

  Jul 29.2015
• rappin’ the truth

  Bill Nye . biology . Boston . carbon dioxide . chemistry . citizen science . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . ecology . education . environment . evolution . geophysics . global warming . investment in wind and solar energy . Neill deGrasse Tyson . physics . population biology . rationality . reasonableness . science . science education

  Jul 23.2015
• Links explaining climate change Kevin Jones liked

  Anthropocene . astrophysics . bifurcations . biology . bridge to nowhere . carbon dioxide . chance . citizen science . citizenship . civilization . clean disruption . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . climate models . climate zombies . conservation . consumption . decentralized electric power generation . decentralized energy . demand-side solutions . dynamical systems . ecology . economics . efficiency . energy . energy reduction . environment . exponential growth . forecasting . fossil fuel divestment . fossil fuels . geophysics . global warming . history . investing . investment in wind and solar energy . IPCC . living shorelines . mass extinctions . mass transit . mathematics . maths . meteorology . methane . microgrids . model comparison . NASA . natural gas . NCAR . NOAA . oceanography . physics . politics . population biology . Principles of Planetary Climate . rationality . Ray Pierrehumbert . reasonableness . science . science education . Scripps Institution of Oceanography . sea level rise . sociology . solar power . statistics . temporal myopia . the right to know . Tony Seba . WHOI . wind power . zero carbon

  Jul 13.2015
• Excellent. With musings on religion and mass extinctions.

  art . atheism . Bill Nye . Boston Ethical Society . bridge to nowhere . Carl Sagan . citizenship . climate . climate change . climate education . climate justice . climate zombies . Darwin Day . denial . ecology . environment . ethics . fossil fuels . games of chance . geophysics . global warming . history . humanism . mass extinctions . Neill deGrasse Tyson . physical materialism . politics . population biology . rationality . reasonableness . science . science education . sociology . temporal myopia . the right to know . UU Humanists

  Jul 10.2015
• Climate Justice

  adaptation . Anthropocene . bifurcations . carbon dioxide . carbon dioxide capture . carbon dioxide sequestration . Carbon Tax . citizenship . civilization . clean disruption . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . climate justice . compassion . conservation . consumption . decentralized electric power generation . decentralized energy . demand-side solutions . dynamical systems . economics . education . energy . energy reduction . environment . ethics . fossil fuel divestment . games of chance . geophysics . global warming . history . humanism . investment in wind and solar energy . IPCC . NOAA . oceanography . physics . politics . population biology . rationality . reasonableness . risk . science . science education . sociology . temporal myopia . Unitarian Universalism . UU Humanists . zero carbon

  Jul 2.2015
• “Can we avert the post-antibiotic world?”

  adaptation . bacteria . biology . dynamical systems . ecology . environment . evolution . forecasting . humanism . population biology . rationality . statistics . sustainability . temporal myopia

  Jun 28.2015
• Why decentralized electrical power has to win, no matter what Elon Musk says, and utilities are doomed

  bridge to nowhere . carbon dioxide . Carbon Tax . citizenship . clean disruption . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . compassion . conservation . consumption . decentralized electric power generation . decentralized energy . demand-side solutions . diffusion processes . dynamical systems . ecology . economics . efficiency . energy . energy reduction . engineering . environment . ethics . exponential growth . forecasting . fossil fuel divestment . geophysics . global warming . investing . investment in wind and solar energy . living shorelines . mass transit . mathematics education . maths . meteorology . microgrids . natural gas . NCAR . NOAA . nor’easters . obfuscating data . oceanography . open data . optimization . physics . politics . population biology . Principles of Planetary Climate . rationality . Ray Pierrehumbert . reasonableness . reproducible research . risk . science . science education . scientific publishing . Scripps Institution of Oceanography . solar power . state-space models . statistics . temporal myopia . testing . the right to know . time series . wind power . zero carbon

  Jun 16.2015
• “Time to take out the trash”

  carbon dioxide . Carbon Tax . citizenship . civilization . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . compassion . conservation . decentralized energy . denial . ecology . economics . education . energy . environment . ethics . exponential growth . fossil fuel divestment . geophysics . global warming . humanism . investment in wind and solar energy . IPCC . living shorelines . meteorology . physics . politics . population biology . public transport . rationality . reasonableness . risk . science . science education . sea level rise . sociology . zero carbon

  Jun 15.2015
• “Ecological impacts”

  Anthropocene . climate . climate change . climate disruption . climate education . ecology . environment . forecasting . global warming . mass extinctions . Neill deGrasse Tyson . population biology . rationality . reasonableness . risk . science . science education . sustainability . UU Humanists

  Jun 7.2015
• Brian Swett discusses Boston’s climate future | NOAA Climate.gov

  Boston . climate change . climate disruption . ecology . economics . environment . forecasting . geophysics . global warming . history . investment in wind and solar energy . living shorelines . mass transit . meteorology . NOAA . oceanography . physics . politics . population biology . Principles of Planetary Climate . public transport . rationality . reasonableness . risk . science . science education . sea level rise . sociology . statistics . temporal myopia . the right to know . time series . wind power . zero carbon

  May 10.2015
• Earth Day, my hope

  carbon dioxide . Carl Sagan . Charles Darwin . citizen science . citizenship . civilization . clean disruption . climate . climate change . climate education . compassion . conservation . Darwin Day . demand-side solutions . ecology . economics . education . efficiency . energy reduction . environment . ethics . forecasting . fossil fuel divestment . geophysics . history . humanism . investing . investment in wind and solar energy . IPCC . mathematics . maths . meteorology . NCAR . NOAA . oceanography . open data . open source scientific software . physics . politics . population biology . Principles of Planetary Climate . privacy . probit regression . R . rationality . Ray Pierrehumbert . reasonableness . reproducible research . risk . science . science education . scientific publishing . Scripps Institution of Oceanography . sociology . the right to know . Unitarian Universalism . UU Humanists . WHOI . wind power

  Apr 9.2015
• “This planet comes with limits”

  Anthropocene . biology . carbon dioxide . citizenship . climate change . ecology . environment . forecasting . history . humanism . physics . population biology . rationality . reasonableness . risk

  Apr 5.2015
• We are trying. And the bitterest result is to have so-called colleagues align themselves with the Koch brothers

  Anthropocene . astrophysics . Boston Ethical Society . bridge to nowhere . carbon dioxide . carbon dioxide sequestration . Carbon Tax . chemistry . citizenship . climate . climate change . climate education . consumption . decentralized electric power generation . demand-side solutions . ecology . economics . energy reduction . engineering . forecasting . fossil fuel divestment . investment in wind and solar energy . IPCC . JAGS . meteorology . methane . model comparison . NASA . natural gas . NCAR . Neill deGrasse Tyson . oceanography . open data . physics . politics . population biology . Principles of Planetary Climate . Python 3 . R . rationality . reasonableness . reproducible research . risk . science . science education . Scripps Institution of Oceanography

  Apr 3.2015
• Thar be ARRAYS below!

  climate . climate change . ecology . engineering . environment . meteorology . NCAR . NOAA . oceanography . physics . population biology . Principles of Planetary Climate . science . Scripps Institution of Oceanography . time series . WHOI

  Mar 27.2015
• 2014

  Anthropocene . carbon dioxide . citizenship . civilization . climate . climate change . climate education . consumption . ecology . economics . environment . forecasting . fossil fuel divestment . geophysics . IPCC . meteorology . NOAA . oceanography . physics . population biology . rationality . reasonableness . risk . science . science education . sea level rise . statistics . time series

  Mar 27.2015